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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Suchitepéquez v Mixco: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Guatemala
3–3
FT

Mixco

WLWLD
Suchitepéquez 38%Draw 23%Mixco 39% Expected goals 1.56 – 1.57
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.73Odds
2

Value bet: Mixco to win @ 2.88 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMixco to win ✗39% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.89

Suchitepéquez vs Mixco: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 11 October the Liga Nacional brings Suchitepéquez against Mixco. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT.

Current form

Suchitepéquez, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Comunicaciones, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Mixco, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Antigua GFC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Mixco, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Suchitepéquez.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended Mixco 2–0 Suchitepéquez.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Suchitepéquez 1.6 xG, Mixco 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Suchitepéquez 38%, draw 23%, Mixco 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Mixco to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Suchitepéquez 1–1 Mixco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Suchitepéquez38%fair 2.61 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
Mixco39%fair 2.58 · @2.88
3.13Expected goals
1.56Suchitepéquez xG
1.57Mixco xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%

From our goals model: Suchitepéquez 1.6 – 1.6 Mixco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMixco to win ✗39%2.582.88 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.73 ▲
Draw no betMixco (draw no bet)50%1.99–
Asian handicapSuchitepéquez +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗79%1.26–
First team to scoreMixco to score first48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.58–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mixco / FT Mixco ✗23%4.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.89–

Recent results

Suchitepéquez – last 6

LLDLDL
5 Oct@ Comunicaciones0–3L
25 Sep@ Municipal0–3L
21 Sepvs Xelajú2–2D
15 Sep@ Antigua GFC2–3L
10 Sepvs Guastatoya1–1D
6 Sep@ Malacateco0–2L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Mixco – last 6

WLWLDL
27 Sepvs Antigua GFC3–1W
21 Sep@ Malacateco0–1L
13 Sepvs Aurora3–2W
9 Sep@ Deportivo San Pedro0–2L
5 Sepvs Comunicaciones1–1D
31 Aug@ Xelajú1–4L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Aug 2026Mixco v Suchitepéquez2–0
Suchitepéquez vs Mixco head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

More Liga Nacional predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Suchitepéquez vs Mixco?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Suchitepéquez vs Mixco?

On our numbers Suchitepéquez have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mixco 39%.

How many goals will there be in Suchitepéquez vs Mixco?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Suchitepéquez vs Mixco?

Our predicted score is Suchitepéquez 1–1 Mixco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Suchitepéquez vs Mixco?

Suchitepéquez vs Mixco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.