Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
2
Value bet: Mixco to win @ 2.88 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMixco to win ✗39% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.89
Suchitepéquez vs Mixco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Liga Nacional brings Suchitepéquez against Mixco. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT.
Current form
Suchitepéquez, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Comunicaciones, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Mixco, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Antigua GFC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mixco, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Suchitepéquez.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended Mixco 2–0 Suchitepéquez.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Suchitepéquez 1.6 xG, Mixco 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Suchitepéquez 38%, draw 23%, Mixco 39%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Mixco to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Suchitepéquez 1–1 Mixco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Suchitepéquez38%fair 2.61 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
Mixco39%fair 2.58 · @2.88
3.13Expected goals
1.56Suchitepéquez xG
1.57Mixco xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Suchitepéquez 1.6 – 1.6 Mixco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Suchitepéquez vs Mixco?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Suchitepéquez vs Mixco?
On our numbers Suchitepéquez have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mixco 39%.
How many goals will there be in Suchitepéquez vs Mixco?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Suchitepéquez vs Mixco?
Our predicted score is Suchitepéquez 1–1 Mixco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Suchitepéquez vs Mixco?
Suchitepéquez vs Mixco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.