Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultMarquense to win ✗63% · @1.62
Double chanceMarquense or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Marquense vs Mixco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 15 October the Liga Nacional brings Marquense against Mixco at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada. Kick-off: 04:00 WAT. In the table, Marquense are 8th, lower half, on 30 points after 22 matches; Mixco are 3rd (among the top four) with 36.
Current form
Marquense, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Municipal, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Mixco, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Suchitepéquez, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Marquense, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Mixco.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended Mixco 1–0 Marquense. The last 3 head-to-heads: Marquense 1 win, Mixco 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marquense 2.0 xG, Mixco 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marquense 63%, draw 23%, Mixco 15%.
Lower-risk option: Marquense or draw (85%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Marquense to win (63%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marquense 1–0 Mixco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marquense63%fair 1.59 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
Mixco15%fair 6.83 · @5.00
2.84Expected goals
1.98Marquense xG
0.86Mixco xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Marquense 2.0 – 0.9 Mixco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Marquense to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Marquense vs Mixco?
On our numbers Marquense have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mixco 15%.
How many goals will there be in Marquense vs Mixco?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marquense vs Mixco?
Our predicted score is Marquense 1–0 Mixco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Marquense vs Mixco?
Marquense vs Mixco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
