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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aurora v Deportivo San Pedro: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Guillermo Slowing

Aurora

WWLLW
3–1
FT
Aurora 54%Draw 25%Deportivo San Pedro 21% Expected goals 1.71 – 0.97
79%
Betarazi pick

Aurora or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAurora to win ✓54% · @1.95
Double chanceAurora or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28

Aurora vs Deportivo San Pedro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportivo San Pedro travel to face Aurora on Sunday 18 October in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Guillermo Slowing the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT.

Current form

Aurora, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Comunicaciones, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Deportivo San Pedro, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Suchitepéquez, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Aurora, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Deportivo San Pedro.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Aug 2026) it ended Deportivo San Pedro 2–1 Aurora.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aurora 1.7 xG, Deportivo San Pedro 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aurora 54%, draw 25%, Deportivo San Pedro 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Aurora or draw (79%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Aurora or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aurora 1–0 Deportivo San Pedro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aurora54%fair 1.84 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.00
Deportivo San Pedro21%fair 4.81 · @3.70
2.68Expected goals
1.71Aurora xG
0.97Deportivo San Pedro xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Aurora 1.7 – 1.0 Deportivo San Pedro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAurora to win ✓54%1.841.95 ▲
Double chanceAurora or draw ✓79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.812.00 ▲
Draw no betAurora (draw no bet) ✓72%1.38–
Asian handicapDeportivo San Pedro +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%1.99–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreAurora to score first ✗59%1.68–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aurora / FT Aurora ✗34%2.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.28–

Recent results

Aurora – last 6

WWLLWL
15 Oct@ Comunicaciones2–1W
10 Octvs Xelajú2–1W
5 Oct@ Guastatoya1–2L
27 Sep@ Cobán Imperial2–3L
19 Sepvs Marquense1–0W
13 Sep@ Mixco2–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Deportivo San Pedro – last 6

DWLLDD
16 Oct@ Suchitepéquez1–1D
11 Octvs Comunicaciones2–1W
4 Oct@ Xelajú0–2L
26 Sep@ Guastatoya1–2L
20 Sepvs Cobán Imperial1–1D
13 Sep@ Marquense0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Aug 2026Deportivo San Pedro v Aurora2–1
Aurora vs Deportivo San Pedro head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aurora vs Deportivo San Pedro?

Our pick is Aurora or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Aurora vs Deportivo San Pedro?

On our numbers Aurora have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo San Pedro 21%.

How many goals will there be in Aurora vs Deportivo San Pedro?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aurora vs Deportivo San Pedro?

Our predicted score is Aurora 1–0 Deportivo San Pedro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Aurora vs Deportivo San Pedro?

Aurora vs Deportivo San Pedro (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Slowing.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.