Municipal 63%Draw 20%Guastatoya 17%Expected goals 1.68 – 0.69
63%
Betarazi pick
Municipal to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMunicipal to win ✗63% · @1.40
Double chanceMunicipal or draw ✓83% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.98
Municipal vs Guastatoya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Monday 19 October: Municipal v Guastatoya in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera. In the table, Municipal are 2nd, among the top four, on 38 points after 22 matches; Guastatoya are 7th (lower half) with 31.
Current form
Municipal, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cobán Imperial, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Guastatoya, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Antigua GFC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Guastatoya, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Municipal.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Aug 2026) it ended Guastatoya 1–0 Municipal. The last 4 head-to-heads: Municipal 2 wins, Guastatoya 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Municipal 1.7 xG, Guastatoya 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Municipal 63%, draw 20%, Guastatoya 17%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Municipal to win (63%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Municipal 1–0 Guastatoya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Municipal63%fair 1.59 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.80
Guastatoya17%fair 5.90 · @7.50
2.37Expected goals
1.68Municipal xG
0.69Guastatoya xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Municipal 1.7 – 0.7 Guastatoya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Municipal vs Guastatoya?
Our pick is Municipal to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Municipal vs Guastatoya?
On our numbers Municipal have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Guastatoya 17%.
How many goals will there be in Municipal vs Guastatoya?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Municipal vs Guastatoya?
Our predicted score is Municipal 1–0 Guastatoya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Municipal vs Guastatoya?
Municipal vs Guastatoya (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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