Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultMarquense to win ✗64% · @1.60
Double chanceMarquense or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.75
Marquense vs Guastatoya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Marquense welcome Guastatoya to Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada for a Liga Nacional fixture on Friday 30 October (03:10 WAT). In the table, Marquense are 8th, lower half, on 30 points after 22 matches; Guastatoya are 7th (lower half) with 31. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Marquense, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Cobán Imperial, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Guastatoya, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Mixco, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Marquense, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Guastatoya.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended Guastatoya 1–2 Marquense. The last 2 head-to-heads: Marquense 1 win, Guastatoya 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marquense 1.9 xG, Guastatoya 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marquense 64%, draw 25%, Guastatoya 11%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Marquense to win (64%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marquense 1–0 Guastatoya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marquense64%fair 1.57 · @1.60
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.30
Guastatoya11%fair 9.37 · @5.50
2.53Expected goals
1.86Marquense xG
0.67Guastatoya xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Marquense 1.9 – 0.7 Guastatoya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Marquense vs Guastatoya?
Our pick is Marquense to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Marquense vs Guastatoya?
On our numbers Marquense have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Guastatoya 11%.
How many goals will there be in Marquense vs Guastatoya?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marquense vs Guastatoya?
Our predicted score is Marquense 1–0 Guastatoya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Marquense vs Guastatoya?
Marquense vs Guastatoya (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 03:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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