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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Xelajú v Marquense: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Mario Camposeco

Xelajú

DWLWL
2–0
FT
Xelajú 71%Draw 19%Marquense 10% Expected goals 2.03 – 0.60
72%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultXelajú to win ✓71% · @1.36
Double chanceXelajú or draw ✓90% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓15% · fair 6.73

Xelajú vs Marquense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Xelajú welcome Marquense to Estadio Mario Camposeco for a Liga Nacional fixture on Tuesday 3 November (22:00 WAT). In the table, Xelajú are 1st, leading the league, on 39 points after 22 matches; Marquense are 8th (lower half) with 30.

Current form

Xelajú, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mixco, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Marquense, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Guastatoya, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Sep 2026) it ended Marquense 0–4 Xelajú. The last 5 head-to-heads: Xelajú 3 wins, Marquense 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Xelajú 2.0 xG, Marquense 0.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Xelajú 71%, draw 19%, Marquense 10%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.69.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Xelajú 2–0 Marquense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Xelajú71%fair 1.41 · @1.36
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @4.20
Marquense10%fair 10.08 · @7.35
2.63Expected goals
2.03Xelajú xG
0.60Marquense xG
49%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–015%
1–015%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Xelajú 2.0 – 0.6 Marquense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultXelajú to win ✓71%1.411.36
Double chanceXelajú or draw ✓90%1.111.02
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.951.69
Draw no betXelajú (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapXelajú -1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%1.981.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.171.09
First team to scoreXelajú to score first ✓72%1.40–
Half-time resultXelajú ahead at half-time ✓50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Xelajú / FT Xelajú ✓46%2.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓15%6.73–

Recent results

Xelajú – last 6

DWLWLW
29 Oct@ Mixco0–0D
24 Octvs Municipal1–0W
20 Oct@ Antigua GFC0–3L
15 Octvs Malacateco2–1W
10 Oct@ Aurora1–2L
4 Octvs Deportivo San Pedro2–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Marquense – last 6

DLWDDW
30 Octvs Guastatoya0–0D
25 Oct@ Cobán Imperial1–3L
19 Octvs Suchitepéquez2–1W
15 Octvs Mixco1–1D
12 Oct@ Municipal1–1D
3 Octvs Antigua GFC2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Sep 2026Marquense v Xelajú0–4
4 May 2026Xelajú v Marquense2–0
30 Apr 2026Marquense v Xelajú1–1
2 Apr 2026Marquense v Xelajú1–0
16 Feb 2026Xelajú v Marquense4–2
Xelajú vs Marquense head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Xelajú vs Marquense?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Xelajú vs Marquense?

On our numbers Xelajú have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Marquense 10%.

How many goals will there be in Xelajú vs Marquense?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Xelajú vs Marquense?

Our predicted score is Xelajú 2–0 Marquense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Xelajú vs Marquense?

Xelajú vs Marquense (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mario Camposeco.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.