Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAntigua GFC to win ✓67% · @1.44
Double chanceAntigua GFC or draw ✓89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.65
Antigua GFC vs Malacateco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Malacateco travel to face Antigua GFC on Monday 9 November in the Liga Nacional, with Estadio Pensativo the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Antigua GFC are 5th, upper half, on 34 points after 22 matches; Malacateco are 10th (in the drop zone) with 22. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Antigua GFC, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Aurora, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Malacateco, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Suchitepéquez, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Antigua GFC, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Malacateco.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Sep 2026) it ended Malacateco 0–2 Antigua GFC. The last 3 head-to-heads: Antigua GFC 2 wins, Malacateco 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Antigua GFC 2.0 xG, Malacateco 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Antigua GFC 67%, draw 21%, Malacateco 11%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Antigua GFC 2–0 Malacateco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Antigua GFC67%fair 1.49 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.74
Malacateco11%fair 8.70 · @6.77
2.68Expected goals
1.99Antigua GFC xG
0.69Malacateco xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–014%
1–19%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Antigua GFC 2.0 – 0.7 Malacateco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Antigua GFC vs Malacateco?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Antigua GFC vs Malacateco?
On our numbers Antigua GFC have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Malacateco 11%.
How many goals will there be in Antigua GFC vs Malacateco?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Antigua GFC vs Malacateco?
Our predicted score is Antigua GFC 2–0 Malacateco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Antigua GFC vs Malacateco?
Antigua GFC vs Malacateco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Pensativo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
