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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aurora v Mixco: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Guillermo Slowing

Aurora

LWDWW
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Mixco

WLDWD
Aurora 55%Draw 23%Mixco 22% Expected goals 1.91 – 1.11
78%
Betarazi pick

Aurora or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultAurora to win55% · @1.92
Double chanceAurora or draw78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.12

Aurora vs Mixco: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:00 WAT, Thursday 12 November: Aurora v Mixco in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Guillermo Slowing. In the table, Aurora are 11th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 22 matches; Mixco are 3rd (among the top four) with 36. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Aurora, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Antigua GFC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Mixco, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Deportivo San Pedro, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Sep 2026) it ended Mixco 3–2 Aurora. The last 2 head-to-heads: Aurora 0 wins, Mixco 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aurora 1.9 xG, Mixco 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aurora 55%, draw 23%, Mixco 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Aurora or draw (78%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.63.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Aurora or draw (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aurora 1–1 Mixco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aurora55%fair 1.83 · @1.92
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
Mixco22%fair 4.49 · @3.35
3.02Expected goals
1.91Aurora xG
1.11Mixco xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Aurora 1.9 – 1.1 Mixco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

AuroraMixco
Attack vs Liga Nacional average+8%+16%
Goals conceded vs average+6%+13%
Our expected goals here2.041.13

Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAurora to win55%1.831.92 ▲
Double chanceAurora or draw78%1.291.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score61%1.651.63
Draw no betAurora (draw no bet)71%1.41–
Asian handicapMixco +1.5 (Asian handicap)67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals78%1.291.21
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals55%1.811.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals66%1.521.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals81%1.23–
First team to scoreAurora to score first60%1.66–
Half-time resultAurora ahead at half-time41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aurora / FT Aurora35%2.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.12–

Recent results

Aurora – last 6

LWDWWW
1 Novvs Antigua GFC0–2L
29 Oct@ Malacateco2–0W
26 Oct@ Suchitepéquez2–2D
18 Octvs Deportivo San Pedro3–1W
15 Oct@ Comunicaciones2–1W
10 Octvs Xelajú2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Mixco – last 6

WLDWDW
7 Novvs Deportivo San Pedro2–1W
2 Nov@ Comunicaciones1–3L
29 Octvs Xelajú0–0D
25 Oct@ Guastatoya3–1W
21 Octvs Municipal0–0D
18 Octvs Cobán Imperial3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Sep 2026Mixco v Aurora3–2
1 Mar 2026Aurora v Mixco1–1
Aurora vs Mixco head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aurora vs Mixco?

Our pick is Aurora or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Aurora vs Mixco?

On our numbers Aurora have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mixco 22%.

How many goals will there be in Aurora vs Mixco?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aurora vs Mixco?

Our predicted score is Aurora 1–1 Mixco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Aurora vs Mixco?

Aurora vs Mixco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Slowing.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.