Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultKarviná to win ✗67% · @1.57
Double chanceKarviná or draw ✗86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Třinec vs Karviná: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Friday 11 September: Třinec v Karviná in the FNL, played at Stadion Rudolfa Labaje.
Current form
Třinec, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Vlašim, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Karviná, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Kladno, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Karviná, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Třinec.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Třinec 0.8 xG, Karviná 2.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Třinec 14%, draw 19%, Karviná 67%.
Lower-risk option: Karviná or draw (86%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Karviná to win (67%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Třinec 0–2 Karviná. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Třinec14%fair 7.18 · @4.80
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @3.75
Karviná67%fair 1.49 · @1.57
2.86Expected goals
0.80Třinec xG
2.06Karviná xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Třinec 0.8 – 2.1 Karviná expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karviná to win✗
67%
1.49
1.57 ▲
Double chance
Karviná or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.75
Draw no bet
Karviná (draw no bet)✗
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Karviná -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Karviná to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Karviná ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karviná / FT Karviná✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Třinec – last 6
LLWDDW
4 Sep
@ Vlašim
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Baník Ostrava II
1–4
L
26 Aug
@ Bzenec
4–1
W
21 Aug
@ Opava
2–2
D
17 Aug
vs Ústí nad Labem
0–0
D
12 Aug
@ Bospor Bohumín
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Karviná – last 6
WLDWWW
4 Sep
vs Kladno
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Příbram
1–2
L
26 Aug
@ Kozlovice
1–1
D
21 Aug
vs Viktoria Žižkov
3–0
W
15 Aug
@ Arsenal Česká Lípa
5–2
W
12 Aug
@ Brumov
4–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Třinec and Karviná.
Our pick is Karviná to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Třinec vs Karviná?
On our numbers Třinec have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Karviná 67%.
How many goals will there be in Třinec vs Karviná?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Třinec vs Karviná?
Our predicted score is Třinec 0–2 Karviná, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Třinec vs Karviná?
Třinec vs Karviná (FNL) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rudolfa Labaje.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dukla Praha3
Vlašim1
Příbram1
Baník Ostrava II3
Táborsko3
Kladno3
Ústí nad Labem1
Vysočina Jihlava2