Karviná 60%Draw 23%Dukla Praha 16%Expected goals 2.26 – 1.14
84%
Betarazi pick
Karviná or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Karviná to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKarviná to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceKarviná or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Karviná vs Dukla Praha: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Karviná welcome Dukla Praha to Town Stadium Karvina for a FNL fixture on Friday 16 October (16:30 WAT).
Current form
Karviná, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Táborsko, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Dukla Praha, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Baník Ostrava II, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Karviná 2.3 xG, Dukla Praha 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Karviná 60%, draw 23%, Dukla Praha 16%.
Lower-risk option: Karviná or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Karviná to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Karviná or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karviná 2–1 Dukla Praha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Karviná60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.40
Dukla Praha16%fair 6.18 · @3.60
3.40Expected goals
2.26Karviná xG
1.14Dukla Praha xG
64%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Karviná 2.3 – 1.1 Dukla Praha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karviná to win✓
60%
1.66
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Karviná or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.55
Draw no bet
Karviná (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Karviná -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
First team to score
Karviná to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Karviná ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karviná / FT Karviná✓
41%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.29
–
Recent results
Karviná – last 6
WDWLWL
9 Oct
@ Táborsko
1–0
W
2 Oct
vs Stal Rzeszów
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs Hanácká
3–2
W
11 Sep
@ Třinec
2–3
L
4 Sep
vs Kladno
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Příbram
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dukla Praha – last 6
WLDWWW
12 Oct
vs Baník Ostrava II
3–2
W
2 Oct
vs FK Jablonec
0–1
L
18 Sep
@ Prostějov
2–2
D
11 Sep
vs Vlašim
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Opava
2–1
W
28 Aug
vs Vysočina Jihlava
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karviná and Dukla Praha.
What is the prediction for Karviná vs Dukla Praha?
Our pick is Karviná or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Karviná vs Dukla Praha?
On our numbers Karviná have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dukla Praha 16%.
How many goals will there be in Karviná vs Dukla Praha?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karviná vs Dukla Praha?
Our predicted score is Karviná 2–1 Dukla Praha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Karviná vs Dukla Praha?
Karviná vs Dukla Praha (FNL) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Town Stadium Karvina.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Baník Ostrava II2
Slavia Praha II1
Vlašim1
Hanácká0
Opava1
Vysočina Jihlava3
Příbram2
Třinec3
Prostějov2
Ústí nad Labem2