Ústí nad Labem v Karviná Prediction & Expected Goals (23 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultKarviná to win ✓46% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.53

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.91

Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Karviná travel to face Ústí nad Labem on Friday 23 October in the FNL, with Town Stadium Usti the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT.

Current form

Ústí nad Labem, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Prostějov, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Karviná, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Dukla Praha, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Karviná, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Ústí nad Labem.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ústí nad Labem 1.4 xG, Karviná 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 66%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ústí nad Labem 32%, draw 22%, Karviná 46%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ústí nad Labem 1–1 Karviná. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ústí nad Labem32%fair 3.13 · @2.90

Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.20

Karviná46%fair 2.19 · @2.15

3.05Expected goals

1.37Ústí nad Labem xG

1.68Karviná xG

66%Both score

59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–29%

0–18%

2–17%

0–27%

1–06%

From our goals model: Ústí nad Labem 1.4 – 1.7 Karviná expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Karviná to win ✓	46%	2.19	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.29	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	66%	1.53	1.53
Draw no bet	Karviná (draw no bet) ✓	59%	1.70	–
Asian handicap	Ústí nad Labem +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	81%	1.24	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	59%	1.70	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	81%	1.24	–
First team to score	Karviná to score first ✓	53%	1.90	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	39%	2.55	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Karviná / FT Karviná ✓	27%	3.69	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.91	–

Ústí nad Labem – last 6

DLWLDW

16 Oct	@ Prostějov	2–2	D
9 Oct	vs Opava	2–3	L
20 Sep	@ Baník Ostrava II	2–0	W
11 Sep	vs Vysočina Jihlava	1–2	L
4 Sep	vs Slavia Praha II	1–1	D
29 Aug	@ Táborsko	1–0	W

1.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Karviná – last 6

WWDWLW

16 Oct	vs Dukla Praha	3–0	W
9 Oct	@ Táborsko	1–0	W
2 Oct	vs Stal Rzeszów	1–1	D
18 Sep	vs Hanácká	3–2	W
11 Sep	@ Třinec	2–3	L
4 Sep	vs Kladno	2–0	W

2.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zbrojovka Brno	30	24	4	2	+40	76
2	Táborsko	30	16	5	9	+16	53
3	Artis	30	15	7	8	+13	52
4	Ústí nad Labem	30	15	3	12	+7	48
5	Baník Ostrava II	30	14	5	11	+7	47
6	Příbram	30	13	7	10	-1	46
7	Opava	30	11	11	8	+11	44
8	Viktoria Žižkov	30	12	5	13	-14	41
9	Slavia Praha II	30	11	5	14	-5	38
10	Vlašim	30	10	8	12	+7	38
11	Chrudim	30	9	8	13	-12	35
12	Hanácká	30	10	4	16	-11	34
13	České Budějovice	30	10	4	16	-12	34
14	Prostějov	30	6	12	12	-12	30
15	Vysočina Jihlava	30	7	8	15	-7	29
16	Sparta Praha II	30	7	4	19	-27	25

Team

Pts

+40

+16

+13

-1

+11

-14

-5

-12

-11

-12

-12

-7

-27

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná?

On our numbers Ústí nad Labem have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Karviná 46%.

How many goals will there be in Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná?

Our predicted score is Ústí nad Labem 1–1 Karviná, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná?

Ústí nad Labem vs Karviná (FNL) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Town Stadium Usti.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Ústí nad Labem v Karviná: numbers & prediction