Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Mlada Boleslav to win @ 3.05 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPardubice to win ✗41% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.72
Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mlada Boleslav travel to face Pardubice on Saturday 15 August in the Czech Liga, with Letni Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Pardubice are 12th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; Mlada Boleslav are 3rd (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
Pardubice, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Slavia Praha, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Mlada Boleslav, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sparta Praha, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Mlada Boleslav, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.7 for Pardubice.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pardubice 1.6 xG, Mlada Boleslav 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pardubice 41%, draw 21%, Mlada Boleslav 38%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Mlada Boleslav to win @3.05 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pardubice 1–1 Mlada Boleslav. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pardubice41%fair 2.45 · @2.08
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.55
Mlada Boleslav38%fair 2.61 · @3.05
3.11Expected goals
1.58Pardubice xG
1.53Mlada Boleslav xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Pardubice 1.6 – 1.5 Mlada Boleslav expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pardubice to win✗
41%
2.45
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.55
Draw no bet
Pardubice (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Mlada Boleslav +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
First team to score
Pardubice to score first✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pardubice / FT Pardubice✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.72
–
Recent results
Pardubice – last 6
LLLWLD
9 Aug
@ Slavia Praha
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs FK Jablonec
0–2
L
26 Jul
@ Hradec Králové
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Vysočina Jihlava
5–0
W
9 Jul
@ Cracovia Krakow
0–2
L
5 Jul
@ Rapid Vienna
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mlada Boleslav – last 6
WDWWWW
8 Aug
vs Sparta Praha
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ Sigma Olomouc
2–2
D
27 Jul
@ Artis
4–2
W
18 Jul
vs Ried
4–0
W
15 Jul
@ Energie Cottbus
4–2
W
11 Jul
vs Táborsko
3–0
W
3.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pardubice and Mlada Boleslav.
What is the prediction for Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav?
On our numbers Pardubice have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mlada Boleslav 38%.
How many goals will there be in Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav?
Our predicted score is Pardubice 1–1 Mlada Boleslav, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav?
Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav (Czech Liga) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Letni Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
