FK Jablonec 60%Draw 23%Baník Ostrava 17%Expected goals 1.72 – 0.79
83%
Betarazi pick
FK Jablonec or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: FK Jablonec to win @ 1.93 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFK Jablonec to win ✓60% · @1.93
Double chanceFK Jablonec or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55
FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Wednesday 9 September: FK Jablonec v Baník Ostrava in the Czech Liga, played at Stadion Strelnice. In the table, FK Jablonec are 7th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Baník Ostrava are 13th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
FK Jablonec, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Slovan Liberec, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Baník Ostrava, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Mlada Boleslav, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Jablonec 1.7 xG, Baník Ostrava 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Jablonec 60%, draw 23%, Baník Ostrava 17%.
Lower-risk option: FK Jablonec or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: FK Jablonec to win @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FK Jablonec or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Jablonec 1–0 Baník Ostrava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Jablonec60%fair 1.67 · @1.93
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.40
Baník Ostrava17%fair 5.85 · @3.55
2.50Expected goals
1.72FK Jablonec xG
0.79Baník Ostrava xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: FK Jablonec 1.7 – 0.8 Baník Ostrava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Jablonec to win✓
60%
1.67
1.93 ▲
Double chance
FK Jablonec or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.62
Draw no bet
FK Jablonec (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Baník Ostrava +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
FK Jablonec to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Jablonec / FT FK Jablonec✓
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.55
–
Recent results
FK Jablonec – last 6
LDLWLW
6 Sep
vs Slovan Liberec
1–2
L
2 Sep
@ Bohemians 1905
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Teplice
0–2
L
27 Aug
vs Rangers
1–0
W
20 Aug
@ Rangers
0–1
L
13 Aug
@ Rīgas FS
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Baník Ostrava – last 6
LWWWLL
6 Sep
@ Mlada Boleslav
0–4
L
29 Aug
vs Sigma Olomouc
1–0
W
26 Aug
@ Sparta Brno
9–0
W
16 Aug
vs Artis
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Hradec Králové
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Slavia Praha
0–4
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Jablonec and Baník Ostrava.
What is the prediction for FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava?
Our pick is FK Jablonec or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava?
On our numbers FK Jablonec have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Baník Ostrava 17%.
How many goals will there be in FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava?
Our predicted score is FK Jablonec 1–0 Baník Ostrava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava?
FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava (Czech Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Strelnice.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
