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Baník Ostrava v Sigma Olomouc: numbers & prediction

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic · Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich
1–0
FT
Baník Ostrava 38%Draw 22%Sigma Olomouc 40% Expected goals 1.40 – 1.43
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Sigma Olomouc to win @ 2.84 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSigma Olomouc to win ✗40% · @2.84
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.84

Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 29 August the Czech Liga brings Baník Ostrava against Sigma Olomouc at Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Baník Ostrava are 13th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Sigma Olomouc are 5th (upper half) with 24.

Current form

Baník Ostrava, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 9–0 win over Sparta Brno, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sigma Olomouc, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Pardubice, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours Sigma Olomouc, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Baník Ostrava.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Baník Ostrava 1.4 xG, Sigma Olomouc 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Baník Ostrava 38%, draw 22%, Sigma Olomouc 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Sigma Olomouc to win @2.84 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baník Ostrava 1–1 Sigma Olomouc. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Baník Ostrava38%fair 2.60 · @2.28
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.35
Sigma Olomouc40%fair 2.51 · @2.84
2.82Expected goals
1.40Baník Ostrava xG
1.43Sigma Olomouc xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–18%
1–28%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%

From our goals model: Baník Ostrava 1.4 – 1.4 Sigma Olomouc expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSigma Olomouc to win ✗40%2.512.84 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.62
Draw no betSigma Olomouc (draw no bet) ✗51%1.97–
Asian handicapBaník Ostrava +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.321.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.891.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.451.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.18–
First team to scoreSigma Olomouc to score first ✗48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sigma Olomouc / FT Sigma Olomouc ✗22%4.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.84–

Recent results

Baník Ostrava – last 6

WWLLWL
26 Aug@ Sparta Brno9–0W
16 Augvs Artis1–0W
9 Aug@ Hradec Králové1–2L
1 Augvs Slavia Praha0–4L
25 Jul@ Zlin1–0W
18 Jul@ AS Trencin2–3L
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sigma Olomouc – last 6

WWWDLW
23 Augvs Pardubice3–1W
15 Aug@ Slovácko2–1W
9 Aug@ Artis2–1W
2 Augvs Mlada Boleslav2–2D
26 Jul@ FK Jablonec1–2L
17 Julvs Al Sadd2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Baník Ostrava and Sigma Olomouc.

Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc head-to-head page →

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Slavia Praha141040+2834
2Slovan Liberec13823+826
3Mlada Boleslav14743+725
4Sparta Praha14734+1224
5Sigma Olomouc14734+224
6Teplice14635021
7FK Jablonec14635-221
8Plzen14554+720
9Bohemians 190514554020
10Zbrojovka Brno14626-520
11Hradec Králové14536-118
12Pardubice14527-117
13Baník Ostrava13427-1314
14Artis14248-1310
15Slovácko14248-1310
16Zlin140311-163

More Czech Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc?

On our numbers Baník Ostrava have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sigma Olomouc 40%.

How many goals will there be in Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc?

Our predicted score is Baník Ostrava 1–1 Sigma Olomouc, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc?

Baník Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc (Czech Liga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.