Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Baník Ostrava to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBaník Ostrava to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceBaník Ostrava or draw ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70
Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pardubice travel to face Baník Ostrava on Sunday 13 September in the Czech Liga, with Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Baník Ostrava are 13th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Pardubice are 12th (lower half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Baník Ostrava, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to FK Jablonec, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Pardubice, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Slovácko, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Baník Ostrava, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Pardubice.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Baník Ostrava 1.7 xG, Pardubice 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Baník Ostrava 57%, draw 26%, Pardubice 16%.
Lower-risk option: Baník Ostrava or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Baník Ostrava to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Baník Ostrava or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baník Ostrava 1–0 Pardubice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Baník Ostrava57%fair 1.74 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.30
Pardubice16%fair 6.11 · @3.60
2.43Expected goals
1.65Baník Ostrava xG
0.78Pardubice xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Baník Ostrava 1.7 – 0.8 Pardubice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baník Ostrava to win✗
57%
1.74
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Baník Ostrava or draw✗
84%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.67
Draw no bet
Baník Ostrava (draw no bet)✗
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Pardubice +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Baník Ostrava to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baník Ostrava / FT Baník Ostrava✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.70
–
Recent results
Baník Ostrava – last 6
LLWWWL
9 Sep
@ FK Jablonec
0–3
L
6 Sep
@ Mlada Boleslav
0–4
L
29 Aug
vs Sigma Olomouc
1–0
W
26 Aug
@ Sparta Brno
9–0
W
16 Aug
vs Artis
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Hradec Králové
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pardubice – last 6
DLWLDL
5 Sep
@ Slovácko
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Artis
1–2
L
26 Aug
@ Písek
2–0
W
23 Aug
@ Sigma Olomouc
1–3
L
15 Aug
vs Mlada Boleslav
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Slavia Praha
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baník Ostrava and Pardubice.
What is the prediction for Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice?
Our pick is Baník Ostrava or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice?
On our numbers Baník Ostrava have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Pardubice 16%.
How many goals will there be in Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice?
Our predicted score is Baník Ostrava 1–0 Pardubice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice?
Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice (Czech Liga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
