Sparta Praha 66%Draw 20%FK Jablonec 14%Expected goals 2.09 – 0.84
66%
Betarazi pick
Sparta Praha to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultSparta Praha to win ✓66% · @1.60
Double chanceSparta Praha or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FK Jablonec travel to face Sparta Praha on Saturday 12 September in the Czech Liga, with epet ARENA the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Sparta Praha are 4th, among the top four, on 24 points after 14 matches; FK Jablonec are 7th (upper half) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sparta Praha, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Viktoria Žižkov, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
FK Jablonec, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Baník Ostrava, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sparta Praha 2.1 xG, FK Jablonec 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sparta Praha 66%, draw 20%, FK Jablonec 14%.
Lower-risk option: Sparta Praha or draw (86%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sparta Praha to win (66%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sparta Praha 2–0 FK Jablonec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sparta Praha66%fair 1.52 · @1.60
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.90
FK Jablonec14%fair 7.38 · @4.80
2.93Expected goals
2.09Sparta Praha xG
0.84FK Jablonec xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sparta Praha 2.1 – 0.8 FK Jablonec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sparta Praha to win✓
66%
1.52
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Sparta Praha or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.67
Draw no bet
Sparta Praha (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Sparta Praha -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Sparta Praha to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Sparta Praha ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sparta Praha / FT Sparta Praha✓
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.21
–
Recent results
Sparta Praha – last 6
WLLWWL
9 Sep
@ Viktoria Žižkov
5–0
W
6 Sep
@ Hradec Králové
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Slavia Praha
0–3
L
22 Aug
@ Artis
4–0
W
15 Aug
vs Teplice
4–1
W
11 Aug
@ Lyon
0–3
L
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
FK Jablonec – last 6
WLDLWL
9 Sep
vs Baník Ostrava
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Slovan Liberec
1–2
L
2 Sep
@ Bohemians 1905
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Teplice
0–2
L
27 Aug
vs Rangers
1–0
W
20 Aug
@ Rangers
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sparta Praha and FK Jablonec.
What is the prediction for Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
Our pick is Sparta Praha to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
On our numbers Sparta Praha have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FK Jablonec 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
Our predicted score is Sparta Praha 2–0 FK Jablonec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec (Czech Liga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at epet ARENA.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
