Sparta Praha 67%Draw 17%Pardubice 16%Expected goals 2.07 – 0.87
67%
Betarazi pick
Sparta Praha to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultSparta Praha to win ✓67% · @1.30
Double chanceSparta Praha or draw ✓84% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Sparta Praha vs Pardubice: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Sparta Praha v Pardubice in the Czech Liga, played at epet ARENA. In the table, Sparta Praha are 4th, among the top four, on 24 points after 14 matches; Pardubice are 12th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Sparta Praha, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–3 win over Vysočina Jihlava, at home. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Pardubice, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Viktoria Žižkov, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sparta Praha 2.1 xG, Pardubice 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sparta Praha 67%, draw 17%, Pardubice 16%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sparta Praha to win (67%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sparta Praha 2–0 Pardubice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sparta Praha67%fair 1.50 · @1.30
Draw17%fair 5.90 · @5.00
Pardubice16%fair 6.08 · @7.50
2.94Expected goals
2.07Sparta Praha xG
0.87Pardubice xG
57%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sparta Praha 2.1 – 0.9 Pardubice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sparta Praha to win✓
67%
1.50
1.30
Double chance
Sparta Praha or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Draw no bet
Sparta Praha (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Sparta Praha -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Sparta Praha to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Sparta Praha ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sparta Praha / FT Sparta Praha✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Sparta Praha – last 6
WWWWWL
2 Oct
vs Vysočina Jihlava
5–3
W
20 Sep
@ Sigma Olomouc
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ Ararat-Armenia
4–1
W
12 Sep
vs FK Jablonec
2–0
W
9 Sep
@ Viktoria Žižkov
5–0
W
6 Sep
@ Hradec Králové
1–2
L
3.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Pardubice – last 6
WWWWDL
2 Oct
vs Viktoria Žižkov
4–1
W
19 Sep
vs Bohemians 1905
2–1
W
16 Sep
@ Kozlovice
6–0
W
13 Sep
@ Baník Ostrava
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Slovácko
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Artis
1–2
L
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sparta Praha and Pardubice.
What is the prediction for Sparta Praha vs Pardubice?
Our pick is Sparta Praha to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Pardubice?
On our numbers Sparta Praha have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Pardubice 16%.
How many goals will there be in Sparta Praha vs Pardubice?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Praha vs Pardubice?
Our predicted score is Sparta Praha 2–0 Pardubice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sparta Praha vs Pardubice?
Sparta Praha vs Pardubice (Czech Liga) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at epet ARENA.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
