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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Budapest Honved v MTK Budapest: numbers & prediction

NB I · Hungary · Bozsik Arena
3–3
FT
Budapest Honved 41%Draw 24%MTK Budapest 35% Expected goals 1.61 – 1.29
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultBudapest Honved to win ✗41% · @2.56
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.88

Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

MTK Budapest travel to face Budapest Honved on Saturday 1 August in the NB I, with Bozsik Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Budapest Honved are 8th, lower half, on 14 points after 12 matches; MTK Budapest are 10th (in the drop zone) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Budapest Honved, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kisvarda FC, away. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

MTK Budapest, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Zalaegerszegi TE, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Budapest Honved 1.6 xG, MTK Budapest 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Budapest Honved 41%, draw 24%, MTK Budapest 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Budapest Honved 1–1 MTK Budapest. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Budapest Honved41%fair 2.44 · @2.56
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.40
MTK Budapest35%fair 2.83 · @2.48
2.90Expected goals
1.61Budapest Honved xG
1.29MTK Budapest xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: Budapest Honved 1.6 – 1.3 MTK Budapest expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBudapest Honved to win ✗41%2.442.56 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.57
Draw no betBudapest Honved (draw no bet)54%1.86–
Asian handicapMTK Budapest +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.491.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
First team to scoreBudapest Honved to score first52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Budapest Honved / FT Budapest Honved ✗27%3.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.88–

Recent results

Budapest Honved – last 6

DLWWWW
25 Jul@ Kisvarda FC1–1D
18 Jul@ NK Osijek1–2L
11 Jul@ Monori Se6–0W
8 Julvs Soroksar2–0W
4 Jul@ Nafta3–0W
3 Jul@ Sturm Graz II2–1W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

MTK Budapest – last 6

WDWLLW
27 Julvs Zalaegerszegi TE3–0W
18 Julvs Komárno1–1D
18 Julvs Kozarmisleny FC3–0W
11 Julvs Koper1–3L
11 Julvs LNZ Cherkasy0–4L
8 Jul@ Celje2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Budapest Honved and MTK Budapest.

Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest head-to-head page →

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Puskas Academy13805+324
2Ferencvarosi TC12651+1223
3Gyori ETO FC13652+723
4Debreceni VSC13643+622
5Paks13625+220
6Ujpest13535+118
7Vasas13445+116
8Budapest Honved12354-314
9Zalaegerszegi TE13418-713
10MTK Budapest13346-913
11Kisvarda FC13265-312
12Nyiregyhaza13337-1012

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest?

On our numbers Budapest Honved have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and MTK Budapest 35%.

How many goals will there be in Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest?

Our predicted score is Budapest Honved 1–1 MTK Budapest, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest?

Budapest Honved vs MTK Budapest (NB I) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Bozsik Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.