Value bet: Ujpest to win @ 1.94 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUjpest to win ✗63% · @1.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.66
Ujpest vs MTK Budapest: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
MTK Budapest travel to face Ujpest on Saturday 15 August in the NB I, with Szusza Ferenc Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Ujpest are 6th, upper half, on 18 points after 13 matches; MTK Budapest are 10th (in the drop zone) with 13.
Current form
Ujpest, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Kisvarda FC, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
MTK Budapest, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Puskas Academy, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Ujpest, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for MTK Budapest.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ujpest 2.6 xG, MTK Budapest 1.5 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ujpest 63%, draw 16%, MTK Budapest 21%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.42.
Price worth noting: Ujpest to win @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.44, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ujpest 2–1 MTK Budapest. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ujpest63%fair 1.60 · @1.94
Draw16%fair 6.20 · @3.70
MTK Budapest21%fair 4.69 · @3.30
4.03Expected goals
2.57Ujpest xG
1.46MTK Budapest xG
68%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Ujpest 2.6 – 1.5 MTK Budapest expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ujpest to win✗
63%
1.60
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.42
Draw no bet
Ujpest (draw no bet)
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Ujpest -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.60
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.25
First team to score
Ujpest to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Ujpest ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ujpest / FT Ujpest✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.66
–
Recent results
Ujpest – last 6
WWLWDD
8 Aug
@ Kisvarda FC
4–2
W
2 Aug
vs Debreceni VSC
4–2
W
24 Jul
@ Nyiregyhaza
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs Radnik Bijeljina
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ Diosgyori VTK
2–2
D
4 Jul
@ TSV Hartberg
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
MTK Budapest – last 6
LDWDWL
7 Aug
vs Puskas Academy
2–3
L
1 Aug
@ Budapest Honved
3–3
D
27 Jul
vs Zalaegerszegi TE
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs Komárno
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Kozarmisleny FC
3–0
W
11 Jul
vs Koper
1–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ujpest and MTK Budapest.
What is the prediction for Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?
On our numbers Ujpest have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 16% and MTK Budapest 21%.
How many goals will there be in Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?
Our predicted score is Ujpest 2–1 MTK Budapest, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Ujpest vs MTK Budapest?
Ujpest vs MTK Budapest (NB I) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Szusza Ferenc Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
