MTK Budapest 58%Draw 18%Kisvarda FC 24%Expected goals 1.99 – 1.18
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: MTK Budapest to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMTK Budapest to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Saturday 5 September: MTK Budapest v Kisvarda FC in the NB I. In the table, MTK Budapest are 10th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 13 matches; Kisvarda FC are 11th (in the drop zone) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
MTK Budapest, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Debreceni VSC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Kisvarda FC, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gyori ETO FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours MTK Budapest, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Kisvarda FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give MTK Budapest 2.0 xG, Kisvarda FC 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – MTK Budapest 58%, draw 18%, Kisvarda FC 24%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: MTK Budapest to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: MTK Budapest 1–1 Kisvarda FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
MTK Budapest58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @3.50
Kisvarda FC24%fair 4.23 · @3.40
3.17Expected goals
1.99MTK Budapest xG
1.18Kisvarda FC xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
3–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: MTK Budapest 2.0 – 1.2 Kisvarda FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MTK Budapest to win✗
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.53
Draw no bet
MTK Budapest (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Kisvarda FC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
MTK Budapest to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
MTK Budapest ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT MTK Budapest / FT MTK Budapest✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
MTK Budapest – last 6
DWDLDW
28 Aug
@ Debreceni VSC
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Nyiregyhaza
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Ujpest
1–1
D
7 Aug
vs Puskas Academy
2–3
L
1 Aug
@ Budapest Honved
3–3
D
27 Jul
vs Zalaegerszegi TE
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kisvarda FC – last 6
DDLLWD
30 Aug
vs Gyori ETO FC
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Debreceni VSC
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Nyiregyhaza
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Ujpest
2–4
L
31 Jul
@ Puskas Academy
2–0
W
25 Jul
vs Budapest Honved
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MTK Budapest and Kisvarda FC.
What is the prediction for MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC?
On our numbers MTK Budapest have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Kisvarda FC 24%.
How many goals will there be in MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC?
Our predicted score is MTK Budapest 1–1 Kisvarda FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC?
MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC (NB I) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
