Paks vs MTK Budapest: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the NB I brings Paks against MTK Budapest at Fehérvári úti stadion. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Paks are 5th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; MTK Budapest are 10th (in the drop zone) with 13.
Current form
Paks, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kisvarda FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
MTK Budapest, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gyori ETO FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended MTK Budapest 0–2 Paks.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paks 2.1 xG, MTK Budapest 1.8 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 70% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paks 47%, draw 19%, MTK Budapest 34%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.29.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paks 2–1 MTK Budapest. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paks47%fair 2.15 · @2.05
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.90
MTK Budapest34%fair 2.94 · @2.90
3.88Expected goals
2.10Paks xG
1.78MTK Budapest xG
70%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: Paks 2.1 – 1.8 MTK Budapest expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Paks vs MTK Budapest?
On our numbers Paks have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 19% and MTK Budapest 34%.
How many goals will there be in Paks vs MTK Budapest?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paks vs MTK Budapest?
Our predicted score is Paks 2–1 MTK Budapest, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Paks vs MTK Budapest?
Paks vs MTK Budapest (NB I) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Fehérvári úti stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
