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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

MTK Budapest v Vasas: numbers & prediction

NB I · Hungary
1–0
FT

Vasas

DWWWL
MTK Budapest 44%Draw 21%Vasas 36% Expected goals 1.82 – 1.62
67%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultMTK Budapest to win ✓44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.64

MTK Budapest vs Vasas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

MTK Budapest welcome Vasas for a NB I fixture on Friday 16 October (19:00 WAT). In the table, MTK Budapest are 10th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 13 matches; Vasas are 7th (lower half) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

MTK Budapest, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Paks, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Vasas, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kisvarda FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Vasas, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for MTK Budapest.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Jul 2026) it ended MTK Budapest 3–1 Vasas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give MTK Budapest 1.8 xG, Vasas 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – MTK Budapest 44%, draw 21%, Vasas 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: MTK Budapest 1–1 Vasas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

MTK Budapest44%fair 2.29 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.60
Vasas36%fair 2.81 · @2.70
3.44Expected goals
1.82MTK Budapest xG
1.62Vasas xG
67%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–05%

From our goals model: MTK Budapest 1.8 – 1.6 Vasas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMTK Budapest to win ✓44%2.292.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗67%1.491.44
Draw no betMTK Budapest (draw no bet) ✓55%1.82–
Asian handicapVasas +1 (Asian handicap)71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗86%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.82–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
First team to scoreMTK Budapest to score first ✓51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.74–
Half-time / full-timeHT MTK Budapest / FT MTK Budapest ✓26%3.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.64–

Recent results

MTK Budapest – last 6

LLWLDW
10 Oct@ Paks0–3L
20 Sepvs Gyori ETO FC1–2L
12 Sep@ Mezokovesd-zsory2–0W
5 Sepvs Kisvarda FC1–2L
28 Aug@ Debreceni VSC2–2D
22 Augvs Nyiregyhaza2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Vasas – last 6

DWWWLL
10 Octvs Kisvarda FC1–1D
19 Sep@ Debreceni VSC4–2W
12 Sep@ TFSE Budapest3–1W
4 Sepvs Nyiregyhaza3–2W
29 Aug@ Ujpest1–3L
22 Augvs Puskas Academy0–1L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Jul 2026MTK Budapest v Vasas3–1
MTK Budapest vs Vasas head-to-head page →

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Puskas Academy13805+324
2Ferencvarosi TC12651+1223
3Gyori ETO FC13652+723
4Debreceni VSC13643+622
5Paks13625+220
6Ujpest13535+118
7Vasas13445+116
8Budapest Honved12354-314
9Zalaegerszegi TE13418-713
10MTK Budapest13346-913
11Kisvarda FC13265-312
12Nyiregyhaza13337-1012

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for MTK Budapest vs Vasas?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win MTK Budapest vs Vasas?

On our numbers MTK Budapest have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Vasas 36%.

How many goals will there be in MTK Budapest vs Vasas?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for MTK Budapest vs Vasas?

Our predicted score is MTK Budapest 1–1 Vasas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is MTK Budapest vs Vasas?

MTK Budapest vs Vasas (NB I) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.