On Sunday 25 October the NB I brings Vasas against Paks at Illovszky Rudolf Stadion. Kick-off: 13:15 WAT. In the table, Vasas are 7th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Paks are 5th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Vasas, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to MTK Budapest, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Paks, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gyori ETO FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vasas 1.8 xG, Paks 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vasas 43%, draw 20%, Paks 37%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.35.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vasas 1–1 Paks. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vasas43%fair 2.33 · @2.25
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.60
Paks37%fair 2.70 · @2.62
3.50Expected goals
1.82Vasas xG
1.68Paks xG
69%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
3–15%
From our goals model: Vasas 1.8 – 1.7 Paks expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vasas to win✗
43%
2.33
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.44
1.35
Draw no bet
Vasas (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Paks +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
Vasas to score first✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vasas / FT Vasas✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.89
–
Recent results
Vasas – last 6
LDWWWL
16 Oct
@ MTK Budapest
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs Kisvarda FC
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Debreceni VSC
4–2
W
12 Sep
@ TFSE Budapest
3–1
W
4 Sep
vs Nyiregyhaza
3–2
W
29 Aug
@ Ujpest
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Paks – last 6
LWWWLD
17 Oct
vs Gyori ETO FC
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs MTK Budapest
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ Kisvarda FC
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Kazincbarcikai
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Debreceni VSC
2–4
L
29 Aug
@ Nyiregyhaza
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vasas and Paks.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Vasas vs Paks?
On our numbers Vasas have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Paks 37%.
How many goals will there be in Vasas vs Paks?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vasas vs Paks?
Our predicted score is Vasas 1–1 Paks, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Vasas vs Paks?
Vasas vs Paks (NB I) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Illovszky Rudolf Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
