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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Sochi v Arsenal Tula: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

FC Sochi

DLWWW
3–3
FT

Arsenal Tula

DLLDD
FC Sochi 59%Draw 20%Arsenal Tula 20% Expected goals 2.22 – 1.41
81%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.21Odds
O2.5

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.79 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFC Sochi to win ✗59% · @1.49
Double chanceFC Sochi or draw ✓80% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.86

FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 26 June the Friendlies Clubs brings FC Sochi against Arsenal Tula. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT.

Current form

FC Sochi, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Akhmat, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Arsenal Tula, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Spartak Kostroma, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours FC Sochi, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Arsenal Tula.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Sochi 2.2 xG, Arsenal Tula 1.4 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Sochi 59%, draw 20%, Arsenal Tula 20%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.86.
  • Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.79 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Sochi 2–1 Arsenal Tula. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Sochi59%fair 1.68 · @1.49
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @4.25
Arsenal Tula20%fair 4.95 · @6.05
3.63Expected goals
2.22FC Sochi xG
1.41Arsenal Tula xG
57%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–27%
1–06%

From our goals model: FC Sochi 2.2 – 1.4 Arsenal Tula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

FC SochiArsenal Tula
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+13%-8%
Goals conceded vs average+13%+13%
Our expected goals here2.221.67

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Sochi to win ✗59%1.681.49
Double chanceFC Sochi or draw ✓80%1.251.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.771.86 ▲
Draw no betFC Sochi (draw no bet)75%1.34–
Asian handicapArsenal Tula +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.21
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.631.79 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.681.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗77%1.311.09
First team to scoreFC Sochi to score first ✓59%1.68–
Half-time resultFC Sochi ahead at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Sochi / FT FC Sochi ✗36%2.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.86–

Recent results

FC Sochi – last 6

DLWWWW
17 Mayvs Akhmat1–1D
10 May@ Zenit1–2L
3 Mayvs FC Orenburg3–1W
21 Aprvs Krylia Sovetov2–1W
17 Apr@ FC Rostov1–0W
12 Apr@ CSKA Moscow1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Arsenal Tula – last 6

DLLDDL
21 Junvs Spartak Kostroma1–1D
17 Junvs Volga Ulyanovsk1–2L
11 May@ Enisey0–1L
4 Mayvs Rotor Volgograd2–2D
22 Aprvs Chelyabinsk0–0D
5 Aprvs Fakel1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FC Sochi and Arsenal Tula.

FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Botev Plovdiv2 Arda Kardzhali1 149%2.15X25%3.20226%2.95 1.7–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 52%@1.73 ✗
FT Baltika3 Volga Ulyanovsk0 139%5.05X24%3.92237%1.62 1.5–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓
FT Austria Lustenau3 FC WIL 19000 160%1.33X21%5.00219%6.00 2.1–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 67%@1.36 ✓
FT Randers FC2 Sonderjyske4 141%2.25X22%3.80237%2.50 1.9–1.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.67 ✓
FT Akron0 Baltika1 141%1.55X24%4.05235%5.55 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.30 ✓
FT Aarhus Fremad1 Brann2 126%3.30X22%4.33252%1.75 1.4–2.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.22 ✓
FT FK Jablonec2 Vlašim1 157%1.33X21%4.80222%6.50 1.9–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 63%@1.50 ✓
FT Rubin1 KAMAZ1 155%1.53X23%4.33222%5.35 1.7–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.48 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula?

On our numbers FC Sochi have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Arsenal Tula 20%.

How many goals will there be in FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula?

Our predicted score is FC Sochi 2–1 Arsenal Tula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula?

FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.