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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

NEC Nijmegen v MSV Duisburg: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

NEC Nijmegen

DWDWD
2–3
FT

MSV Duisburg

DWLWW
NEC Nijmegen 58%Draw 21%MSV Duisburg 21% Expected goals 1.75 – 1.19
61%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultNEC Nijmegen to win ✗58% · @1.38
Double chanceNEC Nijmegen or draw ✗79% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗5% · fair 21.19

NEC Nijmegen vs MSV Duisburg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 8 July the Friendlies Clubs brings NEC Nijmegen against MSV Duisburg. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT.

Current form

NEC Nijmegen, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with De Treffers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.

MSV Duisburg, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Erzgebirge Aue, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give NEC Nijmegen 1.8 xG, MSV Duisburg 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – NEC Nijmegen 58%, draw 21%, MSV Duisburg 21%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: NEC Nijmegen 2–1 MSV Duisburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

NEC Nijmegen58%fair 1.73 · @1.38
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @4.33
MSV Duisburg21%fair 4.76 · @6.25
2.95Expected goals
1.75NEC Nijmegen xG
1.19MSV Duisburg xG
50%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: NEC Nijmegen 1.8 – 1.2 MSV Duisburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

NEC NijmegenMSV Duisburg
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+19%+1%
Goals conceded vs average-1%-14%
Our expected goals here1.761.62

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNEC Nijmegen to win ✗58%1.731.38
Double chanceNEC Nijmegen or draw ✗79%1.271.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.99–
Draw no betNEC Nijmegen (draw no bet) ✗73%1.36–
Asian handicapMSV Duisburg +1 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.651.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.21–
First team to scoreNEC Nijmegen to score first ✗56%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.53–
Half-time / full-timeHT NEC Nijmegen / FT NEC Nijmegen ✗31%3.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗5%21.19–

Recent results

NEC Nijmegen – last 5

DWDWD
1 Jul@ De Treffers1–1D
17 Mayvs GO Ahead Eagles2–1W
22 Marvs Heerenveen2–2D
3 Marvs PSV Eindhoven3–2W
17 Feb@ Sparta Rotterdam1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
100%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

MSV Duisburg – last 6

DWLWWW
8 May@ Erzgebirge Aue0–0D
3 Mayvs Energie Cottbus2–1W
24 Apr@ Alemannia Aachen1–3L
7 Aprvs VfL Osnabrück1–0W
22 Marvs TSV 1860 München2–1W
8 Marvs FC Saarbrücken4–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between NEC Nijmegen and MSV Duisburg.

NEC Nijmegen vs MSV Duisburg head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

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FT Zaglebie Lubin0 Baník Ostrava2 140%2.15X24%3.65236%2.65 1.5–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.50 ✓
FT Servette FC2 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0 154%1.62X24%3.90222%4.10 1.7–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.55 ✓
FT Zlin1 Hapoel Tel Aviv2 125%2.70X35%3.50240%2.15 1.1–1.6xG X2Hapoel Tel Aviv or draw 75%@1.40 ✓
FT Budapest Honved2 Soroksar0 157%1.55X22%3.90222%4.60 2.0–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 58%@1.55 ✓
FT Aalborg2 Randers FC2 131%3.30X22%3.65247%1.85 1.8–2.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 53%@1.50 ✗
FT Kolding IF1 Vendsyssel FF0 139%2.60X24%3.40237%2.30 1.6–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 56%@1.73 ✗
FT FC Gutersloh0 Arminia Bielefeld3 149%1.25X20%5.75231%7.50 2.1–1.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs MSV Duisburg?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs MSV Duisburg?

On our numbers NEC Nijmegen have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and MSV Duisburg 21%.

How many goals will there be in NEC Nijmegen vs MSV Duisburg?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for NEC Nijmegen vs MSV Duisburg?

Our predicted score is NEC Nijmegen 2–1 MSV Duisburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is NEC Nijmegen vs MSV Duisburg?

NEC Nijmegen vs MSV Duisburg (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 8 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.