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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lokomotiv v Rubin: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Lokomotiv

WWWWD
1–3
FT

Rubin

WDLDD
Lokomotiv 55%Draw 24%Rubin 21% Expected goals 1.66 – 1.01
69%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.39 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.39Odds

Picks by market

ResultLokomotiv to win ✗55% · @1.63
Double chanceLokomotiv or draw ✗79% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39

Lokomotiv vs Rubin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rubin travel to face Lokomotiv on Saturday 18 July in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Lokomotiv, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over CSKA Moscow, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Rubin, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Krylia Sovetov, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Lokomotiv, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Rubin.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Rubin 3–0 Lokomotiv.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv 1.7 xG, Rubin 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv 55%, draw 24%, Rubin 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Lokomotiv or draw (79%) at 1.16.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (69%, odds 1.39). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv 1–1 Rubin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lokomotiv55%fair 1.81 · @1.63
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @4.05
Rubin21%fair 4.84 · @4.75
2.67Expected goals
1.66Lokomotiv xG
1.01Rubin xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–07%

From our goals model: Lokomotiv 1.7 – 1.0 Rubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

LokomotivRubin
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+3%-4%
Goals conceded vs average-34%-19%
Our expected goals here1.451.02

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLokomotiv to win ✗55%1.811.63
Double chanceLokomotiv or draw ✗79%1.261.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.67
Draw no betLokomotiv (draw no bet) ✗73%1.37–
Asian handicapRubin +1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.891.69
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.461.39
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.12
First team to scoreLokomotiv to score first58%1.73–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lokomotiv / FT Lokomotiv ✗32%3.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.39–

Recent results

Lokomotiv – last 6

WWWWDL
14 Julvs CSKA Moscow1–0W
11 Julvs Spartak Moscow2–0W
11 Julvs Akron3–0W
3 Julvs Spartak Kostroma2–0W
27 Junvs Rodina Moskva0–0D
17 May@ CSKA Moscow1–3L
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Rubin – last 6

WDLDDL
11 Julvs Krylia Sovetov2–0W
8 Jul@ Spartak Moscow0–0D
3 Julvs FC Orenburg1–2L
26 Junvs KAMAZ1–1D
17 Mayvs Nizhny Novgorod2–2D
11 May@ Spartak Moscow1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Rubin v Lokomotiv3–0
Lokomotiv vs Rubin head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Ajka0 Csakvar2 143%2.40X25%3.10232%2.70 1.5–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 58%@1.67 ✗
FT Podbrezová3 Liptovský Mikuláš2 147%1.75X23%3.50231%3.75 1.9–1.9xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.50 ✓
FT Monaco5 Saint-Priest2 182%1.04X11%19.0027%26.00 2.7–0.8xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.62 ✓
FT Roskilde2 Fremad Amager2 141%2.45X23%3.50236%2.38 1.6–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 60%@1.50 ✗
FT Voitsberg5 Bistrica4 161%1.62X21%3.80218%4.40 2.3–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.36 ✓
FT OH Leuven1 K. Lierse S.K.0 149%1.48X22%4.10229%5.00 1.9–1.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 55%@1.50 ✓
FT Middelfart3 VSK Århus0 154%1.67X20%4.20226%3.60 2.0–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓
FT Dunkerque2 Standard Liege0 130%3.25X26%3.10244%2.05 1.5–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.67 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv vs Rubin?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.

Who will win Lokomotiv vs Rubin?

On our numbers Lokomotiv have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rubin 21%.

How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv vs Rubin?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs Rubin?

Our predicted score is Lokomotiv 1–1 Rubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Lokomotiv vs Rubin?

Lokomotiv vs Rubin (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.