Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✓5% · fair 21.54
Burton Albion vs Leicester: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Burton Albion welcome Leicester for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Saturday 18 July (13:00 WAT).
Current form
Burton Albion, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Alfreton Town, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Leicester, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Bristol Rovers, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Leicester, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Burton Albion.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burton Albion 1.1 xG, Leicester 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burton Albion 27%, draw 24%, Leicester 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burton Albion 1–2 Leicester. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burton Albion27%fair 3.65 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.70
Leicester49%fair 2.05 · @2.00
2.61Expected goals
1.05Burton Albion xG
1.56Leicester xG
48%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Burton Albion 1.1 – 1.6 Leicester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Burton Albion
Leicester
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
-29%
+9%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
-22%
Our expected goals here
0.96
1.50
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leicester to win✓
49%
2.05
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Leicester (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Burton Albion +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Leicester to score first✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leicester / FT Leicester✓
29%
3.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✓
5%
21.54
–
Recent results
Burton Albion – last 6
DDDDLD
11 Jul
@ Alfreton Town
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Peterborough
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Mansfield Town
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Barnsley
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs Reading
1–2
L
3 Mar
@ Exeter City
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Leicester – last 6
WWWDDD
14 Jul
@ Bristol Rovers
2–1
W
11 Jul
vs Northampton
3–0
W
2 May
@ Blackburn
1–0
W
21 Apr
vs Hull City
2–2
D
6 Apr
@ Sheffield Wednesday
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Preston
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burton Albion and Leicester.
What is the prediction for Burton Albion vs Leicester?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Burton Albion vs Leicester?
On our numbers Burton Albion have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Leicester 49%.
How many goals will there be in Burton Albion vs Leicester?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burton Albion vs Leicester?
Our predicted score is Burton Albion 1–2 Leicester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Burton Albion vs Leicester?
Burton Albion vs Leicester (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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