Value bet: Port Vale to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultWigan to win ✗44% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58% · @1.95
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.57
Wigan vs Port Vale: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 18 July the Friendlies Clubs brings Wigan against Port Vale. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT.
Current form
Wigan, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Port Vale, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Port Vale, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Tamworth, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Port Vale 0–0 Wigan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wigan 1.7 xG, Port Vale 1.8 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wigan 44%, draw 25%, Port Vale 31%.
Price worth noting: Port Vale to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wigan 1–2 Port Vale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wigan44%fair 2.28 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.60
Port Vale31%fair 3.19 · @3.60
3.42Expected goals
1.67Wigan xG
1.76Port Vale xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–05%
From our goals model: Wigan 1.7 – 1.8 Port Vale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Wigan
Port Vale
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
-8%
+18%
Goals conceded vs average
-11%
-29%
Our expected goals here
1.14
1.70
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Wigan vs Port Vale?
On our numbers Wigan have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Port Vale 31%.
How many goals will there be in Wigan vs Port Vale?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wigan vs Port Vale?
Our predicted score is Wigan 1–2 Port Vale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Wigan vs Port Vale?
Wigan vs Port Vale (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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