Double chanceAthletic Club or draw ✓91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.87
Leioa vs Athletic Club: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Saturday 18 July: Leioa v Athletic Club in the Friendlies Clubs.
Current form
Leioa, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Albacete II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Athletic Club, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Derio, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Leioa, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Athletic Club.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leioa 1.0 xG, Athletic Club 2.6 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 51% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leioa 9%, draw 14%, Athletic Club 78%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leioa 1–2 Athletic Club. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leioa9%fair 11.41 · @67.00
Draw14%fair 7.34 · @15.00
Athletic Club78%fair 1.29 · @1.02
3.64Expected goals
1.03Leioa xG
2.62Athletic Club xG
51%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
0–29%
1–38%
0–38%
1–17%
0–17%
From our goals model: Leioa 1.0 – 2.6 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Leioa
Athletic Club
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
-10%
+42%
Goals conceded vs average
+56%
-19%
Our expected goals here
1.33
2.42
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Club to win✓
78%
1.29
1.02
Double chance
Athletic Club or draw✓
91%
1.10
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
–
Draw no bet
Athletic Club (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
Athletic Club -1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.20
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
First team to score
Athletic Club to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Athletic Club ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athletic Club / FT Athletic Club✓
48%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
Leioa – last 6
LWWWLW
21 Jun
@ Albacete II
0–2
L
13 Jun
vs Albacete II
1–0
W
6 Jun
vs Derio
1–0
W
31 May
@ Derio
1–0
W
23 May
vs Touring
1–2
L
19 Apr
@ San Ignacio
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Athletic Club – last 6
WDLLWL
15 Jul
@ Derio
3–0
W
17 May
vs Celta Vigo
1–1
D
13 May
@ Espanyol
0–2
L
10 May
vs Valencia
0–1
L
21 Apr
vs Osasuna
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Getafe
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leioa and Athletic Club.
What is the prediction for Leioa vs Athletic Club?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Leioa vs Athletic Club?
On our numbers Leioa have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Athletic Club 78%.
How many goals will there be in Leioa vs Athletic Club?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leioa vs Athletic Club?
Our predicted score is Leioa 1–2 Athletic Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Leioa vs Athletic Club?
Leioa vs Athletic Club (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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