Aragua FC 56%Draw 26%Caracas FC 18%Expected goals 2.24 – 1.26
82%
Betarazi pick
Aragua FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Aragua FC to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAragua FC to win ✓56% · @1.95
Double chanceAragua FC or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Aragua FC vs Caracas FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 14 October the Copa Venezuela brings Aragua FC against Caracas FC. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, Aragua FC are 2nd on 10 points after 6 matches; Caracas FC are 1st with 13. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Aragua FC, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Fundación Lara Deportiva, away. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Caracas FC, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Zamora FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Aragua FC, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Caracas FC.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Jun 2026) it ended Caracas FC 1–1 Aragua FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aragua FC 2.2 xG, Caracas FC 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aragua FC 56%, draw 26%, Caracas FC 18%.
Lower-risk option: Aragua FC or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Aragua FC to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Aragua FC or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aragua FC 2–1 Caracas FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aragua FC56%fair 1.78 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.10
Caracas FC18%fair 5.71 · @3.50
3.50Expected goals
2.24Aragua FC xG
1.26Caracas FC xG
58%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Aragua FC 2.2 – 1.3 Caracas FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Aragua FC vs Caracas FC?
Our pick is Aragua FC or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Aragua FC vs Caracas FC?
On our numbers Aragua FC have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Caracas FC 18%.
How many goals will there be in Aragua FC vs Caracas FC?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aragua FC vs Caracas FC?
Our predicted score is Aragua FC 2–1 Caracas FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Aragua FC vs Caracas FC?
Aragua FC vs Caracas FC (Copa Venezuela) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Club Atletico Barinas3
Real Frontera0
Atletico Avila FC1
Anzoátegui FC2
Atletico el Vigia FC1
Zamora FC3
Monagas SC2
Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz1
Trujillanos FC0
Rayo Zuliano0