Weston Bears 22%Draw 19%Melbourne City 58%Expected goals 1.25 – 1.59
58%
Betarazi pick
Melbourne City to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultMelbourne City to win ✓58% · @1.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.83
Weston Bears vs Melbourne City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
05:00 WAT, Sunday 26 July: Weston Bears v Melbourne City in the Australia Cup, played at Rockwell Automation Park.
Current form
Weston Bears, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Kahibah, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Melbourne City, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Adelaide United, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Weston Bears 1.2 xG, Melbourne City 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Weston Bears 22%, draw 19%, Melbourne City 58%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Melbourne City to win (58%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Weston Bears 0–1 Melbourne City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Weston Bears22%fair 4.45 · @9.00
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @6.50
Melbourne City58%fair 1.71 · @1.20
2.84Expected goals
1.25Weston Bears xG
1.59Melbourne City xG
53%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
0–27%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Weston Bears 1.2 – 1.6 Melbourne City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Melbourne City to win✓
58%
1.71
1.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Draw no bet
Melbourne City (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Weston Bears +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Melbourne City to score first✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Melbourne City / FT Melbourne City✓
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.83
–
Recent results
Weston Bears – last 6
WWWLDD
18 Jul
vs Kahibah
5–2
W
15 Jul
@ Charlestown City Blues
5–0
W
11 Jul
vs Lambton Jaffas
3–2
W
28 Jun
@ Broadmeadow Magic
1–5
L
20 Jun
@ Cooks Hill United
3–3
D
13 Jun
vs Belmont Swansea
2–2
D
3.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Melbourne City – last 6
LWWWWD
26 Apr
vs Adelaide United
1–2
L
18 Apr
@ Brisbane Roar
3–2
W
12 Apr
vs Wellington Phoenix
2–0
W
7 Apr
vs Central Coast Mariners
2–1
W
4 Apr
vs Western Sydney Wanderers
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ Perth Glory
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Weston Bears and Melbourne City.
What is the prediction for Weston Bears vs Melbourne City?
Our pick is Melbourne City to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Weston Bears vs Melbourne City?
On our numbers Weston Bears have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Melbourne City 58%.
How many goals will there be in Weston Bears vs Melbourne City?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Weston Bears vs Melbourne City?
Our predicted score is Weston Bears 0–1 Melbourne City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Weston Bears vs Melbourne City?
Weston Bears vs Melbourne City (Australia Cup) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Rockwell Automation Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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