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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shinnik Yaroslavl v Torpedo Moskva: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia
2–0
FT
Shinnik Yaroslavl 31%Draw 23%Torpedo Moskva 46% Expected goals 1.05 – 1.34
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultTorpedo Moskva to win ✗46% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.59

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 10 September the Cup brings Shinnik Yaroslavl against Torpedo Moskva. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT.

Current form

Shinnik Yaroslavl, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Rotor Volgograd, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Torpedo Moskva, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Tekstilshchik, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Torpedo Moskva, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Shinnik Yaroslavl.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended Torpedo Moskva 1–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl. The last 2 head-to-heads: Shinnik Yaroslavl 0 wins, Torpedo Moskva 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.0 xG, Torpedo Moskva 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shinnik Yaroslavl 31%, draw 23%, Torpedo Moskva 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.88.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–1 Torpedo Moskva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shinnik Yaroslavl31%fair 3.18 · @3.04
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Torpedo Moskva46%fair 2.20 · @2.18
2.38Expected goals
1.05Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
1.34Torpedo Moskva xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%

From our goals model: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.0 – 1.3 Torpedo Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTorpedo Moskva to win ✗46%2.202.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.861.88
Draw no betTorpedo Moskva (draw no bet) ✗59%1.69–
Asian handicapShinnik Yaroslavl +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.481.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.741.61
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.291.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.03
First team to scoreTorpedo Moskva to score first ✗51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva ✗25%3.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.59–

Recent results

Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6

DDWWDL
5 Sepvs Rotor Volgograd2–2D
30 Aug@ Enisey0–0D
22 Aug@ Volga Ulyanovsk3–1W
14 Aug@ FK Neftekhimik2–0W
8 Augvs Arsenal Tula2–2D
2 Aug@ Nizhny Novgorod0–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Torpedo Moskva – last 6

WWWWLL
4 Sep@ Tekstilshchik4–1W
30 Aug@ Ska-khabarovsk2–0W
21 Augvs Spartak Kostroma3–0W
15 Aug@ Chelyabinsk4–0W
8 Augvs FC Sochi1–2L
2 Aug@ Arsenal Tula0–1L
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Jul 2026Torpedo Moskva v Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1
11 May 2026Shinnik Yaroslavl v Torpedo Moskva1–1
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva?

On our numbers Shinnik Yaroslavl have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Torpedo Moskva 46%.

How many goals will there be in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva?

Our predicted score is Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–1 Torpedo Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva?

Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.