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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tekstilshchik v Arsenal Tula: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia

Tekstilshchik

LLLWL
1–0
FT

Arsenal Tula

LDLWD
Tekstilshchik 30%Draw 22%Arsenal Tula 48% Expected goals 1.13 – 1.51
72%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.26 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.26Odds
2

Value bet: Arsenal Tula to win @ 2.30 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultArsenal Tula to win ✗48% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.88

Tekstilshchik vs Arsenal Tula: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:30 WAT, Tuesday 8 September: Tekstilshchik v Arsenal Tula in the Cup.

Current form

Tekstilshchik, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Torpedo Moskva, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Arsenal Tula, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Volga Ulyanovsk, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Jul 2026) it ended Arsenal Tula 2–1 Tekstilshchik.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tekstilshchik 1.1 xG, Arsenal Tula 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tekstilshchik 30%, draw 22%, Arsenal Tula 48%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.69.
  • Price worth noting: Arsenal Tula to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tekstilshchik 1–1 Arsenal Tula. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tekstilshchik30%fair 3.29 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.28
Arsenal Tula48%fair 2.09 · @2.30
2.64Expected goals
1.13Tekstilshchik xG
1.51Arsenal Tula xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Tekstilshchik 1.1 – 1.5 Arsenal Tula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArsenal Tula to win ✗48%2.092.30 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.69
Draw no betArsenal Tula (draw no bet) ✗61%1.64–
Asian handicapTekstilshchik +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.361.24
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.971.82
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.381.26
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.161.05
First team to scoreArsenal Tula to score first ✗53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arsenal Tula / FT Arsenal Tula ✗27%3.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.88–

Recent results

Tekstilshchik – last 6

LLLWLD
4 Sepvs Torpedo Moskva1–4L
29 Augvs Veles0–1L
22 Aug@ Ural0–2L
19 Aug@ KAMAZ1–0W
15 Augvs Nizhny Novgorod1–3L
8 Aug@ Enisey0–0D
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Arsenal Tula – last 6

LDLWDD
5 Sep@ Volga Ulyanovsk0–3L
29 Augvs Ural2–2D
24 Aug@ Veles0–2L
20 Augvs Rotor Volgograd2–1W
15 Aug@ Leningradets0–0D
8 Aug@ Shinnik Yaroslavl2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Jul 2026Arsenal Tula v Tekstilshchik2–1
Tekstilshchik vs Arsenal Tula head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tekstilshchik vs Arsenal Tula?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win Tekstilshchik vs Arsenal Tula?

On our numbers Tekstilshchik have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Arsenal Tula 48%.

How many goals will there be in Tekstilshchik vs Arsenal Tula?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tekstilshchik vs Arsenal Tula?

Our predicted score is Tekstilshchik 1–1 Arsenal Tula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Tekstilshchik vs Arsenal Tula?

Tekstilshchik vs Arsenal Tula (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.