Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
1
Value bet: MFK Bytča to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHumenné to win ✗40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.86
MFK Bytča vs Humenné: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: MFK Bytča v Humenné in the 2. Liga, played at Mestsky stadion Bytca. In the table, MFK Bytča are 16th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 16 matches; Humenné are 14th (in the drop zone) with 13.
Current form
MFK Bytča, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Žilina II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Humenné, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Pohronie, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give MFK Bytča 1.3 xG, Humenné 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – MFK Bytča 37%, draw 23%, Humenné 40%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: MFK Bytča to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: MFK Bytča 1–1 Humenné. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
MFK Bytča37%fair 2.68 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.00
Humenné40%fair 2.53 · @2.20
2.73Expected goals
1.34MFK Bytča xG
1.39Humenné xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: MFK Bytča 1.3 – 1.4 Humenné expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Humenné to win✗
40%
2.53
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.73
Draw no bet
Humenné (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
MFK Bytča +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Humenné to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Humenné / FT Humenné✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.86
–
Recent results
MFK Bytča – last 6
LLWLDL
3 Oct
vs Žilina II
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Považská Bystrica
1–4
L
19 Sep
vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Slovan Bratislava II
0–2
L
8 Sep
@ Námestovo
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Šamorín
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Humenné – last 6
LDDLLD
3 Oct
vs Pohronie
0–2
L
28 Sep
@ Žilina II
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Inter Bratislava
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Považská Bystrica
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Petržalka
0–1
L
2 Sep
@ MSK Tesla Stropkov
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MFK Bytča and Humenné.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win MFK Bytča vs Humenné?
On our numbers MFK Bytča have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Humenné 40%.
How many goals will there be in MFK Bytča vs Humenné?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MFK Bytča vs Humenné?
Our predicted score is MFK Bytča 1–1 Humenné, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is MFK Bytča vs Humenné?
MFK Bytča vs Humenné (2. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Mestsky stadion Bytca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
