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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vitória ES v Rio Branco-VN: numbers & prediction

Copa Espírito Santo · Brazil
0–1
FT
Vitória ES 53%Draw 25%Rio Branco-VN 22% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.05
53%
Betarazi pick

Vitória ES to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.89 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultVitória ES to win ✗53% · @1.50
Double chanceVitória ES or draw ✗78% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.48

Vitória ES vs Rio Branco-VN: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 2 July the Copa Espírito Santo brings Vitória ES against Rio Branco-VN. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT.

Current form

Vitória ES, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ipatinga, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Rio Branco-VN, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Porto Vitória, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Rio Branco-VN, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Vitória ES.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Jun 2026) it ended Vitória ES 0–1 Rio Branco-VN.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vitória ES 1.5 xG, Rio Branco-VN 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vitória ES 53%, draw 25%, Rio Branco-VN 22%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Vitória ES to win (53%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitória ES 1–0 Rio Branco-VN. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vitória ES53%fair 1.89 · @1.50
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @4.00
Rio Branco-VN22%fair 4.48 · @5.00
2.54Expected goals
1.49Vitória ES xG
1.05Rio Branco-VN xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Vitória ES 1.5 – 1.0 Rio Branco-VN expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVitória ES to win ✗53%1.891.50
Double chanceVitória ES or draw ✗78%1.291.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%1.99–
Draw no betVitória ES (draw no bet) ✗70%1.42–
Asian handicapRio Branco-VN +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreVitória ES to score first ✗54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vitória ES / FT Vitória ES ✗28%3.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.48–

Recent results

Vitória ES – last 6

LDWDDL
27 Jun@ Ipatinga0–2L
23 Junvs Vilavelhense0–0D
20 Junvs Ipatinga1–0W
17 Jun@ Vilavelhense2–2D
14 Jun@ Tombense0–0D
6 Junvs Rio Branco-VN0–1L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Rio Branco-VN – last 5

DWWWL
20 Jun@ Porto Vitória3–3D
14 Junvs Porto Vitória1–0W
6 Jun@ Vitória ES1–0W
31 May@ Sport Brasil ES2–0W
23 Apr@ Rio Branco ES0–3L
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Jun 2026Vitória ES v Rio Branco-VN0–1
Vitória ES vs Rio Branco-VN head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vitória ES vs Rio Branco-VN?

Our pick is Vitória ES to win with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Vitória ES vs Rio Branco-VN?

On our numbers Vitória ES have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rio Branco-VN 22%.

How many goals will there be in Vitória ES vs Rio Branco-VN?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vitória ES vs Rio Branco-VN?

Our predicted score is Vitória ES 1–0 Rio Branco-VN, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Vitória ES vs Rio Branco-VN?

Vitória ES vs Rio Branco-VN (Copa Espírito Santo) kicks off on Thursday 2 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.