Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.33
Plaza Colonia vs La Luz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
La Luz travel to face Plaza Colonia on Saturday 4 July in the Segunda División, with Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Plaza Colonia are 4th, among the top four, on 38 points after 25 matches; La Luz are 9th (lower half) with 34.
Current form
Plaza Colonia, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cerrito, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
La Luz, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with CA River Plate, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Plaza Colonia 1.2 xG, La Luz 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Plaza Colonia 44%, draw 29%, La Luz 27%.
Lower-risk option: Plaza Colonia or draw (73%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Plaza Colonia or draw (73%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Plaza Colonia 1–0 La Luz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Plaza Colonia44%fair 2.25 · @2.15
Draw29%fair 3.46 · @2.80
La Luz27%fair 3.74 · @3.65
2.02Expected goals
1.19Plaza Colonia xG
0.83La Luz xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–013%
1–113%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Plaza Colonia 1.2 – 0.8 La Luz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Plaza Colonia
La Luz
Attack vs Segunda División average
+7%
-6%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.34
0.89
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plaza Colonia to win✓
44%
2.25
2.15
Double chance
Plaza Colonia or draw✓
73%
1.36
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.50
Draw no bet
Plaza Colonia (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
La Luz +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Plaza Colonia to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Plaza Colonia / FT Plaza Colonia✗
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.33
–
Recent results
Plaza Colonia – last 6
LLWDLW
28 Jun
@ Cerrito
0–1
L
20 Jun
vs Atenas
1–2
L
14 Jun
@ Paysandu
2–1
W
5 Jun
vs Sportivo Huracan
0–0
D
30 May
@ Uruguay Montevideo
0–2
L
22 May
vs Oriental
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
La Luz – last 6
DWLLDW
28 Jun
@ CA River Plate
0–0
D
21 Jun
vs Cerrito
2–0
W
14 Jun
@ Atenas
0–4
L
6 Jun
vs Paysandu
1–2
L
31 May
@ Sportivo Huracan
1–1
D
24 May
vs Uruguay Montevideo
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Plaza Colonia and La Luz.
What is the prediction for Plaza Colonia vs La Luz?
Our pick is Plaza Colonia or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Plaza Colonia vs La Luz?
On our numbers Plaza Colonia have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 29% and La Luz 27%.
How many goals will there be in Plaza Colonia vs La Luz?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Plaza Colonia vs La Luz?
Our predicted score is Plaza Colonia 1–0 La Luz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Plaza Colonia vs La Luz?
Plaza Colonia vs La Luz (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
