Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultCerrito to win ✗37% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.58
Tacuarembo vs Cerrito: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tacuarembo welcome Cerrito for a Segunda División fixture on Sunday 5 July (21:00 WAT). In the table, Tacuarembo are 13th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 25 matches; Cerrito are 8th (lower half) with 34.
Current form
Tacuarembo, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Atenas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cerrito, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Plaza Colonia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Cerrito, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Tacuarembo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tacuarembo 1.1 xG, Cerrito 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tacuarembo 34%, draw 28%, Cerrito 37%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tacuarembo 1–1 Cerrito. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tacuarembo34%fair 2.91 · @2.50
Draw28%fair 3.52 · @3.10
Cerrito37%fair 2.68 · @2.65
2.29Expected goals
1.09Tacuarembo xG
1.20Cerrito xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Tacuarembo 1.1 – 1.2 Cerrito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tacuarembo
Cerrito
Attack vs Segunda División average
-28%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-4%
Our expected goals here
0.91
1.07
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerrito to win✗
37%
2.68
2.65
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.40
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.85
Draw no bet
Cerrito (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Tacuarembo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Cerrito to score first✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerrito / FT Cerrito✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.58
–
Recent results
Tacuarembo – last 6
LWLWLW
27 Jun
@ Atenas
0–2
L
20 Jun
vs Paysandu
1–0
W
13 Jun
@ Sportivo Huracan
1–2
L
7 Jun
vs Uruguay Montevideo
1–0
W
1 Jun
@ Oriental
0–2
L
24 May
vs Colón
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Cerrito – last 6
WLLWWW
28 Jun
vs Plaza Colonia
1–0
W
21 Jun
@ La Luz
0–2
L
14 Jun
@ CA River Plate
4–6
L
7 Jun
vs Atenas
2–1
W
30 May
@ Paysandu
1–0
W
24 May
vs Sportivo Huracan
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tacuarembo and Cerrito.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tacuarembo vs Cerrito?
On our numbers Tacuarembo have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Cerrito 37%.
How many goals will there be in Tacuarembo vs Cerrito?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tacuarembo vs Cerrito?
Our predicted score is Tacuarembo 1–1 Cerrito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Tacuarembo vs Cerrito?
Tacuarembo vs Cerrito (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
