Value bet: Colón to win @ 2.20 – our chance 49% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultColón to win ✓49% · @2.20
Double chanceColón or draw ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.12
Colón vs Uruguay Montevideo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 6 July the Segunda División brings Colón against Uruguay Montevideo. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Colón are 3rd, among the top four, on 39 points after 25 matches; Uruguay Montevideo are 14th (in the drop zone) with 22. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Colón, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Oriental, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Uruguay Montevideo, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Fenix, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colón 1.5 xG, Uruguay Montevideo 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colón 49%, draw 27%, Uruguay Montevideo 24%.
Lower-risk option: Colón or draw (76%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Colón to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Colón or draw (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colón 1–0 Uruguay Montevideo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colón49%fair 2.04 · @2.20
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.00
Uruguay Montevideo24%fair 4.14 · @3.30
2.30Expected goals
1.47Colón xG
0.83Uruguay Montevideo xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Colón 1.5 – 0.8 Uruguay Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Colón
Uruguay Montevideo
Attack vs Segunda División average
+8%
-21%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
+14%
Our expected goals here
1.61
0.75
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colón to win✓
49%
2.04
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Colón or draw✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.95
Draw no bet
Colón (draw no bet)✓
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Uruguay Montevideo +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.53
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Colón to score first✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colón / FT Colón✗
31%
3.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.12
–
Recent results
Colón – last 6
DWDWLL
28 Jun
@ Oriental
1–1
D
20 Jun
vs CA River Plate
2–1
W
13 Jun
vs Fenix
1–1
D
7 Jun
@ Rentistas
2–0
W
30 May
vs Miramar
1–3
L
24 May
@ Tacuarembo
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Uruguay Montevideo – last 6
WLLLWL
27 Jun
vs Fenix
3–2
W
21 Jun
@ Rentistas
0–1
L
13 Jun
vs Miramar
1–3
L
7 Jun
@ Tacuarembo
0–1
L
30 May
vs Plaza Colonia
2–0
W
24 May
@ La Luz
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colón and Uruguay Montevideo.
What is the prediction for Colón vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Our pick is Colón or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Colón vs Uruguay Montevideo?
On our numbers Colón have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Uruguay Montevideo 24%.
How many goals will there be in Colón vs Uruguay Montevideo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colón vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Colón 1–0 Uruguay Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Colón vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Colón vs Uruguay Montevideo (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 6 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
