Lokomotiv vs Akhmat: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lokomotiv welcome Akhmat to RZD Arena for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 26 July (15:00 WAT). In the table, Lokomotiv are 15th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 14 matches; Akhmat are 12th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lokomotiv, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Rubin, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 6. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Akhmat, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over IMT Novi Beograd, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Mar 2026) it ended Lokomotiv 2–2 Akhmat.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv 1.5 xG, Akhmat 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv 53%, draw 25%, Akhmat 23%.
Lower-risk option: Lokomotiv or draw (77%) at 1.21.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.74.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lokomotiv or draw (77%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv 1–1 Akhmat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv53%fair 1.90 · @1.71
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @4.10
Akhmat23%fair 4.41 · @4.90
2.50Expected goals
1.50Lokomotiv xG
1.00Akhmat xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv 1.5 – 1.0 Akhmat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Lokomotiv or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs Akhmat?
On our numbers Lokomotiv have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Akhmat 23%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv vs Akhmat?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs Akhmat?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv 1–1 Akhmat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv vs Akhmat?
Lokomotiv vs Akhmat (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at RZD Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
