Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.33
CSKA Moscow vs Fakel: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CSKA Moscow welcome Fakel to VEB Arena for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 15 August (14:15 WAT). In the table, CSKA Moscow are 5th, upper half, on 26 points after 14 matches; Fakel are 16th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
CSKA Moscow, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FC Rostov, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Fakel, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Akhmat, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours CSKA Moscow, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Fakel.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CSKA Moscow 1.8 xG, Fakel 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CSKA Moscow 66%, draw 20%, Fakel 14%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.68.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSKA Moscow 1–0 Fakel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CSKA Moscow66%fair 1.52 · @1.46
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @4.55
Fakel14%fair 7.06 · @7.30
2.42Expected goals
1.78CSKA Moscow xG
0.64Fakel xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: CSKA Moscow 1.8 – 0.6 Fakel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSKA Moscow to win✓
66%
1.52
1.46
Double chance
CSKA Moscow or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.68
Draw no bet
CSKA Moscow (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
CSKA Moscow -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.06
First team to score
CSKA Moscow to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
CSKA Moscow ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSKA Moscow / FT CSKA Moscow✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.33
–
Recent results
CSKA Moscow – last 6
DDDWLL
8 Aug
vs FC Rostov
0–0
D
4 Aug
@ Lokomotiv
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Krylia Sovetov
1–1
D
24 Jul
vs Baltika
2–1
W
18 Jul
@ Dynamo
2–5
L
14 Jul
@ Lokomotiv
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Fakel – last 6
DLLLLD
10 Aug
vs Akhmat
0–0
D
5 Aug
vs Dynamo
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ FC Krasnodar
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
1–2
L
15 Jul
@ FC Rostov
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Akron
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CSKA Moscow and Fakel.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win CSKA Moscow vs Fakel?
On our numbers CSKA Moscow have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Fakel 14%.
How many goals will there be in CSKA Moscow vs Fakel?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Moscow vs Fakel?
Our predicted score is CSKA Moscow 1–0 Fakel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is CSKA Moscow vs Fakel?
CSKA Moscow vs Fakel (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at VEB Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
