Value bet: Rubin to win @ 3.90 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBaltika to win ✗44% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.02
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.40
Baltika vs Rubin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Monday 24 August: Baltika v Rubin in the Premier League, played at Rostec Arena. In the table, Baltika are 9th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; Rubin are 8th (upper half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Baltika, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dinamo Makhachkala, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Rubin, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Spartak Moscow, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Baltika 1.4 xG, Rubin 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Baltika 44%, draw 23%, Rubin 33%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.02.
Price worth noting: Rubin to win @3.90 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.41). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baltika 1–1 Rubin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Baltika44%fair 2.25 · @2.08
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.28
Rubin33%fair 3.07 · @3.90
2.53Expected goals
1.39Baltika xG
1.14Rubin xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Baltika 1.4 – 1.1 Rubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baltika to win✗
44%
2.25
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
2.02 ▲
Draw no bet
Baltika (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Rubin +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.41
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.02
First team to score
Baltika to score first✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baltika / FT Baltika✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.40
–
Recent results
Baltika – last 6
DLWLWL
20 Aug
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Krylia Sovetov
2–0
W
5 Aug
@ Zenit
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Dynamo
2–1
W
24 Jul
@ CSKA Moscow
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rubin – last 6
DDDLWL
19 Aug
vs Spartak Moscow
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ FC Rostov
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs FC Orenburg
1–1
D
4 Aug
@ Rodina Moskva
0–5
L
1 Aug
@ Akron
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs FC Krasnodar
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baltika and Rubin.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Baltika vs Rubin?
On our numbers Baltika have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rubin 33%.
How many goals will there be in Baltika vs Rubin?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baltika vs Rubin?
Our predicted score is Baltika 1–1 Rubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Baltika vs Rubin?
Baltika vs Rubin (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Rostec Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
