Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dynamo welcome Rodina Moskva to VTB Arena for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 23 August (13:15 WAT). In the table, Dynamo are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 14 matches; Rodina Moskva are 13th (lower half) with 12. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Dynamo, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Krasnodar, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Rodina Moskva, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to FC Orenburg, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dynamo 2.5 xG, Rodina Moskva 0.8 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dynamo 72%, draw 20%, Rodina Moskva 9%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.81.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Dynamo to win (72%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dynamo 2–0 Rodina Moskva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dynamo72%fair 1.40 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @5.15
Rodina Moskva9%fair 11.75 · @7.50
3.28Expected goals
2.46Dynamo xG
0.82Rodina Moskva xG
52%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
3–09%
2–19%
1–09%
3–18%
1–18%
From our goals model: Dynamo 2.5 – 0.8 Rodina Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dynamo to win✓
72%
1.40
1.40
Double chance
Dynamo or draw✓
91%
1.09
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.81
Draw no bet
Dynamo (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Dynamo -1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.18
First team to score
Dynamo to score first
72%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Dynamo ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dynamo / FT Dynamo✗
50%
2.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.72
–
Recent results
Dynamo – last 6
LLWWLD
19 Aug
vs FC Krasnodar
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Zenit
0–3
L
9 Aug
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
3–1
W
5 Aug
@ Fakel
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Baltika
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs Krylia Sovetov
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rodina Moskva – last 6
LDWWLL
18 Aug
vs FC Orenburg
1–4
L
15 Aug
vs Akron
3–3
D
9 Aug
@ Zenit
2–1
W
4 Aug
vs Rubin
5–0
W
31 Jul
vs FC Rostov
2–4
L
25 Jul
@ Spartak Moscow
0–3
L
2.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dynamo and Rodina Moskva.
What is the prediction for Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva?
Our pick is Dynamo to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva?
On our numbers Dynamo have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rodina Moskva 9%.
How many goals will there be in Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva?
Our predicted score is Dynamo 2–0 Rodina Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva?
Dynamo vs Rodina Moskva (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at VTB Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
