Rodina Moskva vs Baltika: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Baltika travel to face Rodina Moskva on Sunday 30 August in the Premier League, with Arena Khimki the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Rodina Moskva are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 14 matches; Baltika are 9th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Rodina Moskva, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Dynamo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Baltika, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rubin, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rodina Moskva 1.3 xG, Baltika 1.8 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rodina Moskva 28%, draw 22%, Baltika 51%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.78.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rodina Moskva 1–1 Baltika. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rodina Moskva28%fair 3.58 · @3.96
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.55
Baltika51%fair 1.98 · @1.97
3.06Expected goals
1.27Rodina Moskva xG
1.79Baltika xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Rodina Moskva 1.3 – 1.8 Baltika expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baltika to win✓
51%
1.98
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.78
Draw no bet
Baltika (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Rodina Moskva +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.96 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.06
First team to score
Baltika to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baltika / FT Baltika✓
30%
3.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.48
–
Recent results
Rodina Moskva – last 6
LLDWWL
23 Aug
@ Dynamo
1–3
L
18 Aug
vs FC Orenburg
1–4
L
15 Aug
vs Akron
3–3
D
9 Aug
@ Zenit
2–1
W
4 Aug
vs Rubin
5–0
W
31 Jul
vs FC Rostov
2–4
L
2.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Baltika – last 6
DDLWLW
24 Aug
vs Rubin
1–1
D
20 Aug
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Krylia Sovetov
2–0
W
5 Aug
@ Zenit
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Dynamo
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rodina Moskva and Baltika.
What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva vs Baltika?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Rodina Moskva vs Baltika?
On our numbers Rodina Moskva have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Baltika 51%.
How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva vs Baltika?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva vs Baltika?
Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva 1–1 Baltika, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Rodina Moskva vs Baltika?
Rodina Moskva vs Baltika (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
