Value bet: Spartak Moscow to win @ 1.68 – our chance 65% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSpartak Moscow to win ✓65% · @1.68
Double chanceSpartak Moscow or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Spartak Moscow vs FC Rostov: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the Premier League brings Spartak Moscow against FC Rostov at Lukoil Arena. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Spartak Moscow are 3rd, among the top four, on 29 points after 14 matches; FC Rostov are 6th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Spartak Moscow, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dynamo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
FC Rostov, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Fakel, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Spartak Moscow 5–2 FC Rostov.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Moscow 2.0 xG, FC Rostov 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Moscow 65%, draw 20%, FC Rostov 15%.
Lower-risk option: Spartak Moscow or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.82.
Price worth noting: Spartak Moscow to win @1.68 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Moscow 2–0 FC Rostov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartak Moscow65%fair 1.53 · @1.68
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @4.00
FC Rostov15%fair 6.63 · @5.10
2.79Expected goals
1.98Spartak Moscow xG
0.81FC Rostov xG
51%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Spartak Moscow 2.0 – 0.8 FC Rostov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow vs FC Rostov?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Spartak Moscow vs FC Rostov?
On our numbers Spartak Moscow have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Rostov 15%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Moscow vs FC Rostov?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Moscow vs FC Rostov?
Our predicted score is Spartak Moscow 2–0 FC Rostov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Spartak Moscow vs FC Rostov?
Spartak Moscow vs FC Rostov (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Lukoil Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
