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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Krylia Sovetov v FC Orenburg: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Russia · Samara Arena
2–0
FT
Krylia Sovetov 38%Draw 22%FC Orenburg 40% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.29
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.29Odds
2

Value bet: FC Orenburg to win @ 2.81 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFC Orenburg to win ✗40% · @2.81
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.19

Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Orenburg travel to face Krylia Sovetov on Sunday 8 November in the Premier League, with Samara Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Krylia Sovetov are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 14 matches; FC Orenburg are 10th (lower half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Krylia Sovetov, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Zenit, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

FC Orenburg, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with CSKA Moscow, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours FC Orenburg, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Krylia Sovetov.

Head to head

When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended FC Orenburg 1–0 Krylia Sovetov. The last 2 head-to-heads: Krylia Sovetov 1 win, FC Orenburg 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Krylia Sovetov 1.2 xG, FC Orenburg 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Krylia Sovetov 38%, draw 22%, FC Orenburg 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.71.
  • Price worth noting: FC Orenburg to win @2.81 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Krylia Sovetov 1–1 FC Orenburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Krylia Sovetov38%fair 2.62 · @2.51
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.48
FC Orenburg40%fair 2.49 · @2.81
2.53Expected goals
1.25Krylia Sovetov xG
1.29FC Orenburg xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Krylia Sovetov 1.2 – 1.3 FC Orenburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Orenburg to win ✗40%2.492.81 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.711.71
Draw no betFC Orenburg (draw no bet) ✗51%1.95–
Asian handicapKrylia Sovetov +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.27
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.921.88
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.29
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.161.07
First team to scoreFC Orenburg to score first ✗47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Orenburg / FT FC Orenburg ✗22%4.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.19–

Recent results

Krylia Sovetov – last 6

LWWLLD
2 Novvs Zenit0–3L
29 Octvs Dinamo Makhachkala2–0W
24 Oct@ Rubin2–0W
17 Octvs Fakel1–2L
14 Octvs Baltika0–2L
10 Octvs Spartak Moscow1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

FC Orenburg – last 6

DWWDWW
1 Novvs CSKA Moscow0–0D
28 Octvs Rodina Moskva2–1W
23 Oct@ Akhmat1–0W
19 Oct@ Rodina Moskva2–2D
15 Oct@ Rubin4–1W
10 Octvs Dinamo Makhachkala4–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026FC Orenburg v Krylia Sovetov1–0
4 Mar 2026Krylia Sovetov v FC Orenburg2–0
Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit141013+1731
2Dynamo141013+1031
3Spartak Moscow14923+1629
4FC Krasnodar14752+726
5CSKA Moscow14752+726
6FC Rostov14545-119
7Krylia Sovetov14464-118
8Rubin14464-418
9Baltika14455+217
10FC Orenburg14383017
11Dinamo Makhachkala14518-916
12Akhmat14356-314
13Rodina Moskva14338-1412
14Akron14266-812
15Lokomotiv14257-511
16Fakel141310-146

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?

On our numbers Krylia Sovetov have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Orenburg 40%.

How many goals will there be in Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?

Our predicted score is Krylia Sovetov 1–1 FC Orenburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg?

Krylia Sovetov vs FC Orenburg (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Samara Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.