Value bet: Rubin to win @ 3.48 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLokomotiv to win ✗45% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.36
Lokomotiv vs Rubin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Friday 6 November: Lokomotiv v Rubin in the Premier League, played at RZD Arena. In the table, Lokomotiv are 15th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 14 matches; Rubin are 8th (upper half) with 18.
Current form
Lokomotiv, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Spartak Moscow, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Rubin, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Fakel, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Lokomotiv 1–3 Rubin. The last 2 head-to-heads: Lokomotiv 0 wins, Rubin 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv 1.4 xG, Rubin 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv 45%, draw 22%, Rubin 34%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.76.
Price worth noting: Rubin to win @3.48 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv 1–1 Rubin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv45%fair 2.24 · @2.12
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.54
Rubin34%fair 2.95 · @3.48
2.59Expected goals
1.41Lokomotiv xG
1.18Rubin xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–07%
2–07%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv 1.4 – 1.2 Rubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs Rubin?
On our numbers Lokomotiv have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rubin 34%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv vs Rubin?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs Rubin?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv 1–1 Rubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv vs Rubin?
Lokomotiv vs Rubin (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at RZD Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
