Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Diriyah welcome Al-Nassr to Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium for a King's Cup fixture on Tuesday 18 August (19:00 WAT).
Current form
Al Diriyah, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Al-Ahli Jeddah, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Al-Nassr, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Al-Fateh, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Al Diriyah, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Al-Nassr.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Diriyah 0.8 xG, Al-Nassr 2.3 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Diriyah 13%, draw 17%, Al-Nassr 71%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al-Nassr to win (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Diriyah 0–2 Al-Nassr. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Diriyah13%fair 7.91 · @7.50
Draw17%fair 5.97 · @4.85
Al-Nassr71%fair 1.42 · @1.33
3.12Expected goals
0.83Al Diriyah xG
2.28Al-Nassr xG
54%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–110%
1–210%
0–39%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Al Diriyah 0.8 – 2.3 Al-Nassr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Nassr to win✓
71%
1.42
1.33
Double chance
Al-Nassr or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Draw no bet
Al-Nassr (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Al-Nassr -1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.22
First team to score
Al-Nassr to score first
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Al-Nassr ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Nassr / FT Al-Nassr✓
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
Al Diriyah – last 6
LWWWWW
13 Aug
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
0–1
L
23 Jul
vs FA 2000
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ Trelleborg
4–1
W
18 May
vs Al Jabalain
3–0
W
14 May
vs Al Bukayriyah
3–2
W
1 May
vs Abha
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al-Nassr – last 6
WLLWDW
15 Aug
vs Al-Fateh
3–0
W
4 Aug
vs Almeria
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Estrela
2–4
L
21 May
vs Damac
4–1
W
12 May
vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1–1
D
7 May
@ Al Shabab
4–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Diriyah and Al-Nassr.
What is the prediction for Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr?
Our pick is Al-Nassr to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr?
On our numbers Al Diriyah have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Al-Nassr 71%.
How many goals will there be in Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr?
Our predicted score is Al Diriyah 0–2 Al-Nassr, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr?
Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr (King's Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.