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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Al Diriyah v Al-Nassr: numbers & prediction

King's Cup · Saudi-Arabia · Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
1–4
FT
Al Diriyah 13%Draw 17%Al-Nassr 71% Expected goals 0.83 – 2.28
71%
Betarazi pick

Al-Nassr to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultAl-Nassr to win ✓71% · @1.33
Double chanceAl-Nassr or draw ✓87% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.39

Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Al Diriyah welcome Al-Nassr to Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium for a King's Cup fixture on Tuesday 18 August (19:00 WAT).

Current form

Al Diriyah, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Al-Ahli Jeddah, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Al-Nassr, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Al-Fateh, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Al Diriyah, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Al-Nassr.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Al Diriyah 0.8 xG, Al-Nassr 2.3 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Al Diriyah 13%, draw 17%, Al-Nassr 71%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Al-Nassr to win (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Diriyah 0–2 Al-Nassr. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Al Diriyah13%fair 7.91 · @7.50
Draw17%fair 5.97 · @4.85
Al-Nassr71%fair 1.42 · @1.33
3.12Expected goals
0.83Al Diriyah xG
2.28Al-Nassr xG
54%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–212%
0–110%
1–210%
0–39%
1–18%
1–37%

From our goals model: Al Diriyah 0.8 – 2.3 Al-Nassr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl-Nassr to win ✓71%1.421.33
Double chanceAl-Nassr or draw ✓87%1.141.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.851.80
Draw no betAl-Nassr (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapAl-Nassr -1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.621.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.281.22
First team to scoreAl-Nassr to score first70%1.43–
Half-time resultAl-Nassr ahead at half-time ✓51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al-Nassr / FT Al-Nassr ✓47%2.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.39–

Recent results

Al Diriyah – last 6

LWWWWW
13 Augvs Al-Ahli Jeddah0–1L
23 Julvs FA 20002–0W
18 Jul@ Trelleborg4–1W
18 Mayvs Al Jabalain3–0W
14 Mayvs Al Bukayriyah3–2W
1 Mayvs Abha2–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Al-Nassr – last 6

WLLWDW
15 Augvs Al-Fateh3–0W
4 Augvs Almeria0–2L
1 Aug@ Estrela2–4L
21 Mayvs Damac4–1W
12 Mayvs Al-Hilal Saudi FC1–1D
7 May@ Al Shabab4–2W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Al Diriyah and Al-Nassr.

Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr head-to-head page →

More King's Cup predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr?

Our pick is Al-Nassr to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr?

On our numbers Al Diriyah have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Al-Nassr 71%.

How many goals will there be in Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr?

Our predicted score is Al Diriyah 0–2 Al-Nassr, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr?

Al Diriyah vs Al-Nassr (King's Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.