Value bet: Al Taawon to win @ 1.82 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAl Taawon to win ✓58% · @1.82
Double chanceAl Taawon or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Damac vs Al Taawon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:15 WAT, Wednesday 19 August: Damac v Al Taawon in the King's Cup, played at Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium.
Current form
Damac, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Al-Nassr, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Al Taawon, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Al Khaleej Saihat, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Damac, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Al Taawon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Damac 0.9 xG, Al Taawon 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Damac 17%, draw 25%, Al Taawon 58%.
Lower-risk option: Al Taawon or draw (83%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Al Taawon to win @1.82 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Damac 0–2 Al Taawon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Damac17%fair 5.91 · @3.80
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.60
Al Taawon58%fair 1.71 · @1.82
2.80Expected goals
0.93Damac xG
1.87Al Taawon xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Damac 0.9 – 1.9 Al Taawon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Taawon to win✓
58%
1.71
1.82 ▲
Double chance
Al Taawon or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Draw no bet
Al Taawon (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Damac +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Al Taawon to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Al Taawon ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Taawon / FT Al Taawon✓
38%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Damac – last 6
LLWDWW
21 May
@ Al-Nassr
1–4
L
28 Apr
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs Al Okhdood
2–0
W
9 Apr
vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
1–1
D
12 Mar
@ Al Najma
3–1
W
5 Mar
vs Al Riyadh
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Taawon – last 6
DLLLWD
15 Aug
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
0–0
D
21 May
@ Al-Hazm
0–2
L
11 May
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
1–2
L
29 Apr
vs Al-Ittihad FC
0–2
L
23 Apr
@ Al Najma
2–1
W
12 Mar
@ NEOM
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Damac and Al Taawon.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Damac vs Al Taawon?
On our numbers Damac have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al Taawon 58%.
How many goals will there be in Damac vs Al Taawon?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Damac vs Al Taawon?
Our predicted score is Damac 0–2 Al Taawon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Damac vs Al Taawon?
Damac vs Al Taawon (King's Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.