Stal Stalowa Wola 41%Draw 21%Zawisza Bydgoszcz 38%Expected goals 1.57 – 1.51
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
2
Value bet: Zawisza Bydgoszcz to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultStal Stalowa Wola to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Friday 4 September: Stal Stalowa Wola v Zawisza Bydgoszcz in the II Liga East, played at Stadion Stali Stalowa Wola. In the table, Stal Stalowa Wola are 13th, lower half, on 19 points after 15 matches; Zawisza Bydgoszcz are 5th (upper half) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Stal Stalowa Wola, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Hutnik Kraków, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Zawisza Bydgoszcz, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Legia Warszawa II, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Zawisza Bydgoszcz, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Stal Stalowa Wola.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stal Stalowa Wola 1.6 xG, Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stal Stalowa Wola 41%, draw 21%, Zawisza Bydgoszcz 38%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Zawisza Bydgoszcz to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stal Stalowa Wola 1–1 Zawisza Bydgoszcz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stal Stalowa Wola41%fair 2.46 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @3.25
Zawisza Bydgoszcz38%fair 2.64 · @2.90
3.08Expected goals
1.57Stal Stalowa Wola xG
1.51Zawisza Bydgoszcz xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Stal Stalowa Wola 1.6 – 1.5 Zawisza Bydgoszcz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stal Stalowa Wola to win✗
41%
2.46
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.65
Draw no bet
Stal Stalowa Wola (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Zawisza Bydgoszcz +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Stal Stalowa Wola to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stal Stalowa Wola / FT Stal Stalowa Wola✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.67
–
Recent results
Stal Stalowa Wola – last 6
LLWLLL
29 Aug
@ Hutnik Kraków
1–2
L
21 Aug
@ Chojniczanka Chojnice
0–2
L
16 Aug
vs Avia Świdnik
4–0
W
8 Aug
@ Rekord Bielsko-Biała
1–3
L
5 Aug
@ Śląsk Wrocław II
2–3
L
31 Jul
vs Tychy 71
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Zawisza Bydgoszcz – last 6
WWWWLD
29 Aug
vs Legia Warszawa II
4–1
W
22 Aug
@ Avia Świdnik
4–1
W
16 Aug
vs Lechia Zielona Góra
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Resovia Rzeszów
1–0
W
2 Aug
@ Rekord Bielsko-Biała
0–3
L
25 Jul
vs Sokół Kleczew
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stal Stalowa Wola and Zawisza Bydgoszcz.
What is the prediction for Stal Stalowa Wola vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Stal Stalowa Wola vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?
On our numbers Stal Stalowa Wola have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Zawisza Bydgoszcz 38%.
How many goals will there be in Stal Stalowa Wola vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stal Stalowa Wola vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?
Our predicted score is Stal Stalowa Wola 1–1 Zawisza Bydgoszcz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Stal Stalowa Wola vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?
Stal Stalowa Wola vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz (II Liga East) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Stali Stalowa Wola.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
