Value bet: Stal Stalowa Wola to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPodhale Nowy Targ to win ✓40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.34
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Stal Stalowa Wola: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Podhale Nowy Targ v Stal Stalowa Wola in the II Liga East, played at Stadion Mijeski im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego. In the table, Podhale Nowy Targ are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Stal Stalowa Wola are 13th (lower half) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Podhale Nowy Targ, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sandecja Nowy Sącz, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Stal Stalowa Wola, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Zawisza Bydgoszcz, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Podhale Nowy Targ, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Stal Stalowa Wola.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Stal Stalowa Wola 0–0 Podhale Nowy Targ.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Podhale Nowy Targ 1.9 xG, Stal Stalowa Wola 1.8 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Podhale Nowy Targ 40%, draw 23%, Stal Stalowa Wola 37%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Stal Stalowa Wola to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Podhale Nowy Targ 1–1 Stal Stalowa Wola. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Podhale Nowy Targ40%fair 2.47 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Stal Stalowa Wola37%fair 2.72 · @2.90
3.64Expected goals
1.87Podhale Nowy Targ xG
1.77Stal Stalowa Wola xG
68%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Podhale Nowy Targ 1.9 – 1.8 Stal Stalowa Wola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Podhale Nowy Targ vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
On our numbers Podhale Nowy Targ have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stal Stalowa Wola 37%.
How many goals will there be in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
Our predicted score is Podhale Nowy Targ 1–1 Stal Stalowa Wola, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Podhale Nowy Targ vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Stal Stalowa Wola (II Liga East) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Mijeski im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
